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Singapore Airlines - Buys 10% of Virgin Australia

kiasutrader
Publish date: Wed, 31 Oct 2012, 09:16 AM
THE BUZZ  

SIA  announced  that  it  has  purchased  a  10%  strategic  stake  in  Virgin  Australia  for AUD105m.  Virgin  Australia  will  use  the  proceeds  to  buy  60%  of  Tiger  Australia  from Tiger  Airways  Holdings  for  AUD105m  and  also  regional  carrier  Skywest  Airlines  in  a cash and stock offer valued at about AUD95m. Under the subscription agreement, SIA will  have  anti-dilution  rights  to  maintain  10%  interest  in  Virgin  Australia,  in  the  event  of an  equity  issuance  from  another  transaction  announced  by  Virgin  Australia  on  30  Oct 2012. Australian Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB) approval has been obtained for the share purchase, which is expected to be completed on 16 Nov 2012.

OUR TAKE  

Cementing  existing  relationships.  Currently,  the  major  shareholders  of  Virgin Australia  are  the  Virgin  Group,  with  26.13%  equity  interest,  Air  New  Zealand  (18.99%) and Etihad Airways (10%). With SIA having established a code sharing tie-up with Virgin
Australia  in  February  this  year,  the  10%  stake  placement  will  serve  to  cement  its  on-going  relationship  with  the  latter  for  any  future  operational  partnerships  to  compete head-on  with  Qantas  in  the  highly-competitive  domestic  market  in  Australia.  We  see more  potential  network  tie-ups  and  connectivity  moving  forward,  not  with  just  Virgin Australia  but  also  the  Virgin  Group,  noting  that  SIA  also  has  a  49%  stake  in  Virgin Atlantic  Airways.  Furthermore,  such  tie-ups  will  also  involve  two-tier  customer segmentation  (between  low  cost  and  full  services)  as  Virgin  Australia  is  also  buying  a 60% stake in Tiger Australia and also Skywest Airlines in a deal announced on the same day.
 
Maintain  Trading  BUY.  All  eyes  on  upcoming  2Q  earnings.  We  maintain  our TRADING  BUY  call  on  SIA.  Our  FV  of  SGD11.67,  premised  on  1x  CY  FY13  P/BV, remains  unchanged.  Given  the  higher  load  factor  and  improved  aircraft  utilization,  the airline  is  likely  to  see  an  earnings  upside  surprise  in  2Q  despite  an  expected  drop  in yields y-o-y. SIA is scheduled to release its 2Q earnings tomorrow. 


Source: OSK
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