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HI-P INTERNATIONAL - The next Foxconn revealed?

kiasutrader
Publish date: Mon, 03 Sep 2012, 11:13 AM
Last  Friday,  Hi-P  International  made  an  announcement  regarding  a  proposed investment  in  Nantong  Economic  &  Technological  Development  Area  (NETDA) with total land space of 333,335 sq m.  Representing an approximate 40% of total market  capitalisation,  the  S$300m  investment  comprises  of  a)  the  acquisition  of 50 years of land use rights, b) the construction, acquisition and installation of the facilities  and  equipment  necessary  to  commence  production. We  are  favourable of this move because channel checks reveal the significant increase in capacity is backed  by  a  surge  in  orders.  In  view  of  the  admin/legal  expenses  for  the investment,  we  marginally  lower  our  FY12  forecasts  by  7.2%  but  increase  FY13 forecasts by 10.2%.  We raised our TP to S$1.28 pegged to 11x FY13 earnings.
The next Foxconn? While the announcement seems neutral on the surface, our investigative work and channel checks with Apple's supply chain reveal more. As part of Apple's ongoing efforts in diversifying its suppliers, we believe that  Apple has chosen Hi-P to be in a key position along its supply chain and has awarded the contract manufacturer with massive orders. That is the underlying reason we
believe  that  Hi-P's  management,  which  is  known  to  be  conservative  has undertaken this major investment.
Expect  to  double  capacity  by  2014. The production is expected to commence from  2H13  onwards,  with  the  full  production  to  be  achieved  in  2H14.  With production  space  increasing  by  50%,  we  believe  that  the  actual  capacity  will  be doubled  by  the  end  of  2014.  Furthermore,  the  new  plant  is  located  in  the  same strategic area as its Shanghai plant, but with minimal wages that are 10% lower.
Non  dilutive  funding. Given  Hi-P's existing net cash position of S$286.9m, the additional  borrowings  will  shift  Hi-P  to  a  still  conservative  gearing  ratio  of  0.32x with no  need  to dilute  shareholding. With strong  operating  cash  flow  forecasted, we believe that the group is in a good position to maintain its dividend payout of 30-40% of earnings.
Source: OSK
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