Last Friday, Hi-P International made an announcement regarding a proposed investment in Nantong Economic & Technological Development Area (NETDA) with total land space of 333,335 sq m. Representing an approximate 40% of total market capitalisation, the S$300m investment comprises of a) the acquisition of 50 years of land use rights, b) the construction, acquisition and installation of the facilities and equipment necessary to commence production. We are favourable of this move because channel checks reveal the significant increase in capacity is backed by a surge in orders. In view of the admin/legal expenses for the investment, we marginally lower our FY12 forecasts by 7.2% but increase FY13 forecasts by 10.2%. We raised our TP to S$1.28 pegged to 11x FY13 earnings.The next Foxconn? While the announcement seems neutral on the surface, our investigative work and channel checks with Apple's supply chain reveal more. As part of Apple's ongoing efforts in diversifying its suppliers, we believe that Apple has chosen Hi-P to be in a key position along its supply chain and has awarded the contract manufacturer with massive orders. That is the underlying reason we
believe that Hi-P's management, which is known to be conservative has undertaken this major investment.
Expect to double capacity by 2014. The production is expected to commence from 2H13 onwards, with the full production to be achieved in 2H14. With production space increasing by 50%, we believe that the actual capacity will be doubled by the end of 2014. Furthermore, the new plant is located in the same strategic area as its Shanghai plant, but with minimal wages that are 10% lower.
Non dilutive funding. Given Hi-P's existing net cash position of S$286.9m, the additional borrowings will shift Hi-P to a still conservative gearing ratio of 0.32x with no need to dilute shareholding. With strong operating cash flow forecasted, we believe that the group is in a good position to maintain its dividend payout of 30-40% of earnings.