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CAMBRIDGE INDUSTRIAL TRUST - Another attractive quarter

kiasutrader
Publish date: Tue, 31 Jul 2012, 09:21 AM
2Q12  results  in-line  with  expectations.  Cambridge  Industrial  Trust  (CIT)  just released  its  2Q12  results  posting  gross  revenue  and  net  property  income  of S$21.5m  (+10.4%  YoY)  and  S$18.4m  (+8.8%  YoY)  respectively.  The  increase  in revenue is mainly attributed to additional contributions from the acquisitions at 16 Tai Seng Street, 25 Pioneer Crescent and 3C Toh Guan Road East. DPU for the quarter came in at 1.180S'' (+13.9% YoY), equivalent to 24.4% of our FY12 DPU estimate. Going forward, we expect CIT's DPU to continue to remain strong from 1) additional contributions  from  its  acquisitions,  2)  resilient  industrial  rental  rates  coupled  with average  security  deposits  of  12.9  months;  3)  the  completion  of  the  BTS  project  at Tuas View Circuit in August 2012 and 4) future AEIs in the pipeline. On the back of falling  risk  free  rate  to  historic  low  together  with  the  improvement  in  the  quality  of assets  of  CIT,  we  maintain  our  BUY  call  on  CIT  with  a  revised  DDM  based  (COE: 9.8%,  terminal  growth:  1.0%)  TP  of  S$0.660.  With  CIT  currently  trading  at  7.2% spread vs the pre-crisis historical mean of 4.6%, our TP represents a spread of 6.3% posting a potential upside of 11.8. 
Multiple  acquisitions  and  AEIs  a  positive  for  DPU.  Since  the  beginning  of  the year, CIT has completed three acquisitions (namely: 16 Tai Seng Street, 25 Pioneer Crescent  and  3C  Toh  Guan  Road  East)  and  proposed  a  future  acquisition  at  30 Teban Gardens Crescent. Together  with the completion of the  BTS project at Tuas View  Circuit  by  August  2012,  we  expect  CIT's DPU to grow by  c.0.5S''  (+12%)  in FY12.
Pro-active  management  with  room  for  slight  positive  reversion.  CIT's management continues to be pro-active in engaging tenants early on negotiations of lease renewals  in a  bid to  reduce  lease concentration.  Average  lease expiry  profile for  FY13/14  continues  to  decline  to  46.3%  from  >50.0%  last  year.  Currently, CIT's portfolio  occupancy  is  at  99.1%,  together  with  a  high  average  security  deposit  of 12.9  months,  and  a  WALE  of  3.1  years,  we  believe  CIT's portfolio  will  continue  to remain defensive amid a volatile global economy. 
Acceptable  gearing  amid  multiple  acquisitions.  Management  has  been undertaking  a  portfolio  reconstitution  exercise  since  beginning  of  2010,  divesting nonperforming assets and redeploying capital into yield accretive acquisitions. Amid multiple  acquisitions,  gearing  has  been  pared  down  from  42.6%  in  Dec  2009  to 35.8% in Jun 2012. With an internal target gearing 40%, CIT will still has some room for further acquisitions. Together with an attractive yield of 8% and a strong pipeline of acquisitions, we maintain our BUY rating with a revised TP of S$0.660.

Source: OSK
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