CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX:C38U) is recycling part of its divestment proceeds from One George Street in Singapore (at a 3.17% exit NPI yield) into two Australian Grade-A office properties for AUD330.7m, from its sponsor at a 5.2% NPI yield, to deliver 3.1% DPU accretion.
We see favourable growth fundamentals, as CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX:C38U)'s AUM rises 3% to S$22.4b, with overseas assets growing to 7%, even as management maintains its Singapore core. Here, recovery is gaining traction from tenant expansion as office demand returns, as committed occupancy has improved at Asia Square Tower 2 and CapitaSpring to 94.3% and 88.3% respectively (from 82.8% and 83.1% as at end-Sep 2021).
Properties Cushioned by 5.2% Entry NPI Yield
The properties are both NABERS-rated Grade A office buildings within easy access of transport and amenities. 66 Goulburn Street at ~246k sf NLA, in Sydney CBD’s Midtown precinct, is backed by 95.3% committed occupancy, a 2.7-year WALE, and offers a 5.4% NPI yield. Occupancy for 100 Arthur Street at ~292k sf NLA in North Sydney CBD, rose from ~30% in early 2020 (with the exit of two anchor tenants) to 62.3% as at end-Sep 2021, and management expects to push this closer to 100% in the next 12 months.
Excluding AUD7m in rental guarantee, its implied NPI yield would be lower at 3.2%, versus the 5.1% headline yield.
Favourable Growth Fundamentals
Management believes the deals are opportunistic, with Sydney well-placed towards a gradual post-pandemic reopening. Leasing activity has improved year-to-date, with healthy pre-commitment for new completions.
CBRE expects vacancies to tighten in 2023 with rising net absorption, while large-scale government-backed development and rejuvenation initiatives will suggest longer-term rental upside.
We expect an absence of new supply till 3Q22 in North Sydney, to cushion occupancies and rents in the near term.
Eyeing Further Acquisition, Redevelopment Upside
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX:C38U) expects its gearing to be stable at 41%, with the deal’s ~50% loan-to-value (LTV), partly funded by proceeds of S$2.55 (COE: 5.9%, LTG: 1.5%).
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