DBS’ 3Q21 results were above expectations. It registered broad-based growth in loans and fee income. Asset quality remained stable and DBS was able to write-back general provisions of S$138m.
Management continues to grow new platforms LVB, SZRCB and China securities JV. It has also established DBS Finnovation to potentially unlock the value of its digital initiatives.
We expect DBS's dividend yield to improve from 3.6% in 2021 to 4.3% in 2022. Maintain BUY.
Dbs' 3q21 Results
DBS (SGX:D05) reported net profit of S$1,700m for 3Q21 (+31% y-o-y), which is above our forecast of S$1,622m.
Broad-based loan growth. Loans expanded 9% y-o-y and 2% q-o-q, driven by drawdowns for non-trade corporate loans in Singapore and Greater China, continued strong bookings for residential mortgages and wealth management loans. NIM compressed 10bp y-o-y and 2bp q-o-q to 1.43% due to lower interest rates.
Broad-based growth in fee income. Fees and commissions grew 11% y-o-y. Wealth management fees increased 16% y-o-y due to higher customer activities across a range of investment products. Transaction services increased 18% y-o-y due to cash management and trade finance. Cards grew 13% y-o-y due to recovery in consumer spending. Higher trading gains were offset by lower investment gains.
Investing to secure and protect future growth. Operating expenses increased 8% y-o-y due to increases in base salaries carried out mid-year and investments for future growth. Excluding Lakshmi Vilas Bank (LVB) and the Job Support Scheme, underlying operating expenses grew 2% y-o-y.
Third consecutive quarter of write-back. NPL ratio was unchanged at 1.5%. Specific provisions dropped 59% q-o-q to S$68m due to repayment for NPL in the oil & gas sector. General provisions of S$138m were written back as portfolio quality improves. DBS’s reserve for general provisions of S$3.9b is S$0.6b above MAS’ minimum requirement.
DBS declared a dividend of S$0.33 for 3Q21. Scrip dividend scheme is not applicable to the interim dividend.
DBS' Guidance for 2022
Management guided mid-to-high single Finnovation could be held directly under DBS Group Holdings. DBS could bring in strategic investors for these new digital businesses, which would help them IPOs.
DBS - Valuation & Recommendation
We raise our 2022 net Gordon Growth Model (ROE: 11.7%, COE: 7.75%, Growth: 1.5%).
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