Ascendas REIT (SGX:A17U) saw improved occupancies in Singapore and Australia in 3Q21, and better rental reversions, underpinned by its Singapore business spaces, high-specs industrial & data centres, and logistics & distribution centres.
Fundamentals remain strong, backed by scale, rising DPU visibility, upside from acquisitions and/or redevelopments, and further overseas diversification.
With S$12.8b or 80% of AUM entrenched in new economy assets, Ascendas REIT remains the best S-REIT growth proxy.
Our forecasts and S$3.65 DDM-based target price (COE: 6.2%, LTG: 2.0%) for Ascendas REIT are unchanged.
Ascendas REIT's valuations are undemanding at 5.2% FY21 yield and ~4% DPU CAGR for this large-cap liquid name. BUY.
Higher Occupancies in Singapore, Australia
Ascendas REIT's portfolio occupancy improved q-o-q to 91.7% (from 91.3% in 2Q21) as higher occupancies in Singapore (87.9% to 88.5%) and Australia (95.8% to 97.5%) offset a dip in the US (from 92.8% to 91.4%). Tenants in the biomedical, logistics and engineering trade segments accounted for the highest proportion of new demand by gross rental income in 3Q21, at ~21%, ~18% and ~16% respectively.
Vacancies tightened for its industrial and logistics properties in Singapore, and we expect leasing to gain pace into the coming quarters as demand recovers.
Rental Reversion Eased to +3.7%, Rents on a Rise
Ascendas REIT's portfolio delivered a +3.7% rental reversion, which eased from +8.9% in 2Q21, and +3.0% in 1Q21. Reversions in Singapore were stronger at +3.6%, vs +3.4% in 2Q21 and +2.9% in 1Q21, led by its business spaces, maintained at +3.7%, high-specs industrial & data centres at +5.1% (from +4.8%), and logistics & distribution centres at +4.6% (versus +4.9%), while the US jumped +15.0% (from +26.3% in 2Q21 and +6.2% in 1Q21).
With Singapore’s industrial rents bottoming out, and its US properties under-rented (by 10- 30%), we remain optimistic on rental growth, with reversions tracking its low single-digit positive guidance for full-year 2021.
Strong Balance Sheet, Redevelopment Upside
Ascendas REIT's AUM was a S$4.2b debt headroom (at 50% limit). Its deal pipeline includes S$251.2m in Australia over the next two years, and the redevelopment opportunity at 1 Science Park Drive to Ascendas REIT's ESG metrics in report attached below.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....