NanoFilm Technologies's 1H21 PATMI below expectations, dragged by supply chain risks, unfavourable sales mix and one-off expenses for 2H21F ramp-up.
COO departure has minimal impact. Demand still strong with new projects in the pipeline; much will depend on customers’ ability to secure components.
Reiterate ADD rating for NanoFilm Technologies, with a lower target price of S$5.05, pegged to ~34x FY22F P/E.
NanoFilm Technologies's 1H21 PATMI Dragged by Change in Sales Mix and One-offs
NanoFilm Technologies (SGX:MZH) delivered 1H21 revenue of S$96.6m (+24.2% y-o-y) and PATMI of S$17.9m (-3.1% y-o-y), forming 35% (in line) and 21% (below) of our FY21F forecasts, respectively. Gross profit margin was down 6% points y-o-y to 46.1%, due to:
supply chain disruptions,
nanofabrication revenue down 47.8% y-o-y to S$1.7m in 1H21 due to end-of-life projects and no new projects secured,
change in revenue mix towards decorative coating (lower gross margins) in the 3C sub-segments, and
one-off expenses of S$5.4m for its Shanghai Plant 2 and new product introduction (NPI) costs as NanoFilm Technologies prepares for a ramp-up in 2H21F.
Strong Demand, But Supply Chain Risks Persist
We note that NanoFilm Technologies's 1H21 PATMI was lower than expected production ramp-up in anticipation of strong demand from Customer Z’s new product launch in 2H21F, but execution is key, in our view.
COO’s Departure Has Minimal Impact; New Projects in the Pipeline
NanoFilm announced the departure of its chief operating officer (COO) on 13 further departures of its key executives.
In 1H21, NanoFilm Technologies also announced it is close to securing two new projects for its nanofabrication BU, namely:
micro lens array for a new smart watch series, of which it is one of two suppliers to its customer, and
optical sensors, of which it is a single source supplier.
Reiterate ADD on Nanofilm With a Lower Target Price of S$5.05
We cut our FY21F-23F core earnings per share forecast for NanoFilm Technologies by 2.4%-17.8% as we pencil in lower gross margin expectations.
Reiterate ADD rating for NanoFilm Technologies, but our target price falls to S$5.05, pegged to ~34x FY22F P/E, 1 standard deviation below its historical mean (previously 35x) to account for supply chain risks.
Re-rating catalysts include new order wins from customers/market share gains.
Downside risks are customer concentration/component shortages.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....