Prime US REIT (SGX:OXMU) continued to deliver ahead of its IPO projection in 3Q20, on the back of stable occupancy, and strong leasing momentum at +8.9% rental reversion against softening market demand.
Prime US REIT's DPU visibility into FY21 remains high, supported by a 4.6-year WALE, strong tenancies, and +2.0% pa growth from its well-placed assets, currently under-rented by 6.7%.
We maintain our forecasts and DDM-based Target Price (COE: 7.4%, LTG: 2.0%).
Prime US REIT's valuations are compelling at 8+% FY20 DPU yield with improving operational performance and potential acquisitions, as re-rating catalysts. BUY.
Stable Occupancy, Rent Collection at 99%
Prime US REIT's 3Q20 revenue, NPI and distributable income exceeded IPO projections by +9.1%, +9.8% and +15.4% respectively, while 9M20 estimates were ahead by +6.8%, +8.3%, and +15.2%.
Rental collections remained high in 3Q20 at 99%, with minimal lease deferrals at 0.5% of cash rental income (CRI).
Portfolio occupancy was stable at 92.9% (vs 93.0% in 2Q20) while there was a dip with non-renewals at Tower 909 (from 94.7% to 90.3%).
Prime US REIT's properties are well-placed, with demand from financial and technology sector tenancies expected to support backfilling in the coming quarters.
Reversion Stronger at +8.9%
Leasing momentum has picked up with ~83.2k sf added in 3Q20, up 56.8% q-o-q, bringing 9M20 to ~165.8k sf or 4.3% of NLA. A +8.9% rental reversion was achieved on long-term leases (vs +8.5% in 2Q20) with over 60% of leases attributed to renewals or expansion by its existing tenants in established and technology industries.
Prime US REIT's DPU visibility is high, with 99.8% of leases by CRI backed by embedded rental escalations averaging +2.0% pa, and supported by a 4.6-year WALE (5.4 years for its top ten tenants) with 10.7% of its leases (by CRI) expiring by 2021.
Strong Balance Sheet, Stacks Well Against Peers
Prime US REIT's balance sheet remains strong with leverage at 32.7%, and suggests USD324m in debt headroom (at 45% limit).
Prime US REIT continues to place well against its US office S-REIT peers on operational metrics and capital management, with low near-term leasing and refinancing risks.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....