Keep BUY, USD0.88 Target Price, 9% upside. 2Q19/1H19 results are in line, at 25%/50% of our full-year estimates.
Key positive takeaways (2Q) are: strong occupancy rate improvement and healthy positive rental reversions, driven by the technology and related services sectors.
We maintain that Keppel-KBS US REIT is still undervalued, with a FY19F yield of 7.6%, and a solid 250bps spread over office S-REITs. We are hosting an investor meeting with management tomorrow, and will publish a detailed note after that.
Adjusted 2Q DPU Beats Forecast by 2%
Keppel-KBS US REIT (SGX:CMOU)’s 2Q19 revenue and NPI grew 29% and 30% y-o-y, driven by contributions from recently-acquired The Westpark Portfolio, Maitland Promenade I and a higher occupancy rate for its existing properties. Finance costs surged 59% y-o-y on higher borrowings taken to fund acquisitions.
Overall adjusted DPU (restated for rights issue) for the quarter rose 7.1% y-o-y, at 2% more than what was forecasted in its IPO prospectus.
Healthy Portfolio Occupancy Rate Improvement in 2Q
Keppel-KBS US REIT’s committed more than estimated q-o-q to 94%, underpinned US.
In 1H19, Keppel-KBS US REIT leased a total of ~376,000 sqf of office space – this accounted for 8.8% of total NLA, with more than half being lease renewals. More than two-thirds of lease renewals came from the fast-growing technology hubs of Seattle, Austin and Denver, which reaffirms our earlier thesis of booming technology sector office demand.
Positive Rental Reversion of 8.6% Was Achieved for the Leases Signed in 1H19
The trend is expected to rents (2019- 2021) ranging USD 15% below the weighted average asking rental rate of USD26 psf. In addition, Keppel-KBS US REIT’s leases have an average inbuilt annual rental escalation of 3%, driving organic DPU growth.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....