Simons Trading Research

SingTel - Marred by Associates

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Publish date: Thu, 09 Aug 2018, 04:32 PM
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Simons Stock Trading Research Compilation
  • Maintain BUY with lower SOP-based Target Price of SGD3.70 from SGD3.90, offering 16% upside.
  • SingTel’s 1QFY19 core earnings missed expectations, at 19-20% of our and consensus estimates, on weaker regional currencies, protracted weakness at its associates (specifically Telkomsel and Airtel), and enterprise margin dilution. 
  • While management has retained its earlier guidance, we take the opportunity to trim our FY19-21 core earnings forecasts by 7-9%.
  • Valuation wise, the stock trades at 12.4x FY20F EV/EBIDA, or at a discount to its historical mean of 13.5x, backed by prospective dividend yields of over 5%. Singtel remains our preferred exposure to Singapore telcos, given its diversified exposure and sustainable dividends.
  • Key downside risks are competition and forex.

Source: RHB Invest Research - 09 Aug 2018

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