Maintain NEUTRAL with marginally lower DCF-derived Target Price of SGD1.78 (WACC: 7.5%, TG: 1.5%) from SGD1.90, 5% upside.
StarHub's 1H18 results made up 62% of our full-year forecast but came in below consensus (57% of market estimates), which we consider to be broadly in line as we expect a weaker 2H. The enterprise fixed segment remained the bright spot, up 20% y-o-y in 1H18. This was however insufficient to compensate for the decline in mobile and pay-TV revenues, which are facing structural compression.
We trim our 2019F-2020F core earnings by 1-6%, mainly to factor in higher margin dilution from the greater push into the enterprise fixed businesses and housekeeping adjustments.
The stock is down 40% YTD with valuations at -2SD below historical EV/EBITDA mean, with prospective dividend yield at over 7%. We prefer Singtel (SGX:Z74).
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....