We turn neutral on BreadTalk on lower earnings outlook, led largely by higher interest costs.
Since our last report in May 2018 (see report: BreadTalk Group Ltd - Margin Expansion To Drive Growth | SGinvestors.io), the stock has rallied by > 20%. Valuations are now 30.9x FY19F PE at around +1SD of its past four years’ mean PE valuation.
While earnings are now lower, growth continues to be led by better operating leverage from closure of less profitable outlets in the past quarters. However, we are less positive and have lowered net earnings by 8-15% after accounting for higher interest costs going forward.
Source: DBS Research - 06 Aug 2018
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