Simons Trading Research

BreadTalk Group Ltd - Time to Lock in Gains

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Publish date: Mon, 06 Aug 2018, 09:14 AM
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0 3,868
Simons Stock Trading Research Compilation
  • BreadTalk’s 2Q18 earnings below on higher operating costs and interest expense.
  • Interim DPS of 0.5 Sct declared.
  • Cut FY18-19F earnings by 8-15%.
  • Downgrade to HOLD, Target Price S$1.07.

Downgrade to HOLD, Target Price at S$1.07. 

We turn neutral on BreadTalk on lower earnings outlook, led largely by higher interest costs.

Since our last report in May 2018 (see report: BreadTalk Group Ltd - Margin Expansion To Drive Growth | SGinvestors.io), the stock has rallied by > 20%. Valuations are now 30.9x FY19F PE at around +1SD of its past four years’ mean PE valuation.

While earnings are now lower, growth continues to be led by better operating leverage from closure of less profitable outlets in the past quarters. However, we are less positive and have lowered net earnings by 8-15% after accounting for higher interest costs going forward.

Source: DBS Research - 06 Aug 2018

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