Ezion went ex-bonus yesterday, triggering what resembled a 15% share price fall. Adjusting for the 1-for-5 bonus, the ex-bonus price should have been SGD1.83, ie in reality the stock gained 1.7%. We continue liking Ezion for its 50% top-in-class FY14F/FY15F recurring net profit growth and focus on its doubly recession-proof shallow water maintenance operations that should continue yielding sturdy doubledigit growth. Maintain BUY, with a SGD2.50 TP (vs SGD3.00).
1-for-5 bonus issue. Ezion's share price was SGD2.20 as at last Friday's close (5 Sept). After adjusting for its 1-for-5 bonus issue, the theoretical ex-bonus price should have been SGD1.83. While, at first glance, Ezion's "plunged" 15% yesterday, in reality the stock actually gained 1.7%.
Top-in-class annual growth of 50%. With locked-in charters over the next few years, we see Ezion delivering 50% recurring earnings growth per year for FY14/FY15 each. This marks its highest growth in the offshore sector. Beyond FY16, growth would depend on securing new service rig contracts, of which we are confident that management can deliver.
Doubly recession-proof. We see the shallow water space as being recession-proof, as production from this segment will need to continue even in the worst-case scenario of a 10% fall in global oil demand. This was highlighted in our Shallow Water Is The New Onshore report dated 28 May. Further to this, the long-term recurring nature of maintenance work, being part of operating expenditure, is also recession-resilient. Ezion's core business is, thus, doubly recession-proof.
Maintain BUY with SGD2.50 TP (from SGD3.00). Ezion remains our Top Pick in the offshore and marine space. We continue to like this stock for its: i) strong 50% recurring net profit growth for a couple of years at10x P/E, ii) recession-proof strategy, and iii) lack of serious competitors in the Asia-Pacific space. Maintain BUY with an adjusted SGD2.50 TP post bonus issue.