Towards Financial Freedom

Another Stable Set Of Results

kiasutrader
Publish date: Tue, 16 Apr 2013, 11:58 PM
AREIT's FY13 DPU of 13.74S¢ (+1.3% y-o-y) was in line with our estimate  (-1.2% deviation). Revenue and net property income came in at SGD575.8m (+14.4% y-o-y) and SGD408.8m (+11.0% y-o-y) respectively.  The increase in revenue was mainly due to additional contributions of  rental income from completed development projects and newly-acquired  properties during the year. We maintain our NEUTRAL view on AREIT  with a DDM-based (COE: 7.3%, TGR: 1.0%) TP of SGD2.76.
  • FY13 results in line with expectations. FY13 results were largely in line  with our forecast, with a positive rental reversion averaging about 14.0%. The occupancy rates for both its portfolio and multi-tenanted buildings (MTB) shifted to 94.0% and 89.6% vs 94.3% and 89.5% respectively from a year ago. This was a result of the completion of several asset enhancement initiatives over the year, which resulted in an increase in total available net lettable area.
  • Expect AREIT to continue to grow organically. Approximately 21.4%  of AREIT's property income is due for renewal in FY13/FY14, of which 6.0% and 15.4% are from single-tenanted buildings and MTB respectively. With the passing rent for its various properties below the current market rate, we believe AREIT should be able to achieve a mid to high single-digit positive rental reversion in FY13/FY14.
  • Seeking investment opportunities abroad. At the briefing, its  management indicated that they will continue to seek acquisition/ development opportunities in Malaysia and China, as the Singaporean industrial market tightens against a cap rate which has increasingly been compressed since 2010.
  • Retain NEUTRAL outlook. Although both AREIT's earnings and  portfolio occupancy rate are expected to remain stable going forward, due to: i) the lack of new sizeable potential acquisition targets, ii) its nearterm dilution of c.7% as a result of the recent capital-raising exercise, coupled with iii) the high valuation it is currently trading at (1.40x P/B and FY14's forecasted dividend yield of 4.9%), we believe this counter is fairly priced at the moment.
Source: OSK
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