Towards Financial Freedom

Raffles Medical Group - Continues to grow steadily

kiasutrader
Publish date: Tue, 26 Feb 2013, 02:53 PM

Raffles Medical's 4Q12 PATMI grew 22.7% YoY, on the back of a 14.9% YoY increase in  revenue.  Revenue  was  in  line  with  expectations,  but  PATMI  exceeded  slightly, helped  by  gains  on  revaluation  of  investment  properties.  Revenue  growth  was across  all  business  segments,  as  Raffles  Medical  was  able  to  raise  charges  and record  higher  patient  volume.  Demand  for  its  services  remains  strong,  although competition from regional providers is increasing. Raffles Medical continues to seek out  new  growth  opportunities  (via  its  hospital  extension,  new  specialist  medical centre  and  possibly,  a  new hospital in  China).  As we  roll  forward  our earnings, we have a TP of SGD3.30 (previously SGD2.72). Maintain NEUTRAL.

Raised  charges,  but  still  lower  than  its  local  competition.  About  50%  of  its  revenue growth  was  attributed  to  price  increases.  Despite  the  increase  in  charges,  management maintains  that  it  is  still  lower  than  what  other  private  healthcare  providers  charge.  This indicates that there is more room for rates increase (a gradual increase to be expected in FY13), which would help give revenue growth a boost.

Overseas expansion plans moves forward a little. After considering opportunities in the China market for the past few years, Raffles Medical finally took some action and signed a non-binding Letter of Intent (LOI) with a Chinese partner  (a member of China Merchants Group), to collaborate on the proposed development of an integrated international hospital in  Shenzhen,  China.  The  terms  of  this hospital project  is  still  being  finalised.  Should  both parties  come  to  an  agreement,  the  hospital  would  likely  commence  operations  in  three years' time. Funding for this potential investment could be in the form of debt and cash. We think Raffles Medical's strong balance sheet would enable it to do so.

Staff  costs  expected  to  rise.  As  Raffles  Medical  continues  to  gradually  expand  its specialist  services,  it  is  likely  to  continue  hiring.  Coupled  with  higher  wages,  this  would raise its staff costs. Management remains committed to keeping staff costs to under 50% of Group revenue.

Raise  TP,  maintain  NEUTRAL. We  are  expecting  PATMI  of  SGD62.2m  (+9.3%  YoY)  in FY13,  while  margins  are  relatively  stable.  We  have  lowered  our  WACC  assumption slightly, as the outlook is better, with demand from medical tourists still healthy.
Source: OSK
Related Stocks
Market Buzz
Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 0 of 0 comments

Post a Comment