NeraTel, which has largely been looked upon as a defensive stock, is now embarking on a journey of exciting growth. In view of the 1) strong and supportive parent, 2) robust telco spending outlook, 3) stellar performance from its POS business and 4) a new Myanmar story, we reiterate BUY for NeraTel with a higher TP of S$0.72 based on its 5-yr historical average of 9.8x FY14 P/E. The counter remains as the top pick for our Singapore tech sector coverage.
Supportive parent allows for collaborative opportunities. NeraTel's new parent, Northstar, allows for potential collaborative opportunities with one of its telco equipment business which own and charter out radio masts and towers. NeraTel could gain business through supplying radio equipment used in these towers.
Well-positioned to tap on the robust Telco spending outlook. With data demand increasing rapidly (14x increase over the next five years), telecommunication networks are becoming increasingly congested. Consumers gradually place greater emphasis on speed and it may emerge as one of the most important criteria for them to choose a mobile carrier. As such, we expect carriers to channel increasing amount of resources to upgrade their existing infrastructure. With a 60 year brand name and track record, NeraTel is able to capture this growing pie along with improved margins through offering higher value-add services such as system consulting and design.
More recurring revenue stream from the stellar POS business. With the boom of the Southeast Asia consumer market and the gradual maturity of the banking infrastructure comes the need for efficient payment systems. NeraTel's point-of-sales terminal (POS) business is set to grow. Management is confident to grow from 220,000 terminals at the moment to 300,000 within a year, boosting its recurring revenue stream.
New Myanmar story. Management also shared that NeraTel has made a small but significant step into the Myanmar market. Its entry involves both the telecommunication infrastructure business and its POS business. They have done telco infrastructure project as well as help a number of retailers set up POS locally. We believe that given time, NeraTel will make its name in the Myanmar market as its strong financial position and established track record puts it in a much more favourable position than its peers (e.g. SGX-listed Ntegrator).