Olam reported 2QFY13 net profit of SGD 154m. Excluding the one-time gain of SGD 18m from the sale and leaseback of almond orchards, net profit would have been SGD 136m, up 6% YoY. This is in line with expectations. Olam continued to register strong net contribution (NC) growth, with 1HFY13 NC expansion of 21% YoY. Given the one-time gain and the recovery in the industrial raw materials business, we are raising our FY13F net profit by 5% to SGD 423m. We see continued NC expansion in 2HFY13, despite higher interest cost due to the issue of new 5-year bonds. Olam remains a BUY with a target price of SGD 1.97, pegged to 10x FY14 EPS - do note that our target PE is conservative versus historical average of 17x.
More sale and leaseback in the pipeline? Olam completed a transaction whereby they sold and leased back 4,795 acres of Almond Orchards in California, thereby releasing cash of SGD 69m and resulting in one-time net gain of SGD 18m. Management indicated they will explore other such opportunities which could help reduce its gearing. A strategic recaliberation review is being undertaken, and the gearing issue will be part of the review process.
NC continued to improve. Sales volume rose 54%, whilst NC rose 19% YoY. The NC improvement largely came from 1) food staples and packaged foods (+30%) and 2) industrial raw materials (+88%). Whilst the share of NC from industrial raw materials of 16% is much lower than the 88% for food (and commodity financial services had negative NC), we view the improvement in margins for cotton as a big positive for the industrial raw materials segment.
Olam's net gearing of 2.21x is higher than the Jun 12 level of 1.81x, but remains lower than Olam's internal limit of 2.5x. Adjusted for liquid assets, Olam has a net gearing of 0.68x. Management indicated it has sufficient liquidity to meet all financial obligations till end
FY14. Olam had planned an 18-month capex of SGD1.7b, but should the strategic review result in a lowering of gearing limit, this capex plan may be adjusted accordingly.
For the Gabon fertilizer plant, management said that contributions can be expected from FY17 onwards. The schedule has been delayed by an estimated 9 months, but implementation is underway, and Tata is still involved in the project.