Kingsmen has uncovered fraud and dishonesty at two of its subsidiaries that may have an overall financial impact estimated at SGD1.5m. Although not very significant (9% of FY11 PAT), this discovery serves to spotlight the strength of Kingsmen's internal controls. Management has taken swift steps to prevent a recurrence of such incidents. Assuming the financial impact is recorded in FY12, we will lower our earnings estimate to SGD16.1m (from SGD17.3m). However, given its healthy net cash balance, we think this would not affect its operations. Its outlook remains good, with a number of theme parks set to open in Asia over the next few years, fuelled by a growing Asian middle class population. Maintain BUY, with a revised TP of SGD0.79 (from SGD0.83).
Internal controls working, but is this enough? Kingsmen discovered that employees at its Beijing subsidiary had misappropriated funds between 2009 and 2011. It has recovered most of the amount concerned, save for RMB146,835 (SGD29,000). It has also discovered irregularities in a Singapore subsidiary, relating to payment to a project subcontractor. We are of the view that this discovery indicates that the company's internal controls are indeed working. However, it also inevitably gives rise to concerns whether similar irregularities may have occurred in other Kingsmen subsidiaries. Management has started to review and strengthen its internal controls in a bid to prevent such incidents from recurring.
Operations proceeding smootly; outlook still bright. In the meantime, management highlighted that it's business as usual, with a full pipeline of projects coming up. Given that the company had a net cash balance of SGD43.7m as at 3Q12, this additional SGD1.5m charge is not likely to have much impact on its operations. Thematic and scenic construction activities are expected to keep Kingsmen busy, as more theme parks in the region are slated to open over the next few years. Management has also said it will continue to try and secure more new projects in this space.
Maintain BUY, TP S$0.79. While we do not discount the possibility of Kingsmen uncovering similar incidents at its other subsidiaries, we continue to like its stable and attractive dividends. Management has acted swiftly to put things in check and strengthen its internal controls. That said, the SGD1.5m charge to its financials prompt us to lower our TP to SGD0.79, based on 6x FY13F earnings (ex-cash).