Following the conclusion of China's annual energy work conference last week, which outlined aggressive domestic solar power development targets, many solar related shares have rallied. We believe that Swing Media, a company with a stable cash cow business while also tapping on the robust domestic demand for solar power in China, is currently undervalued, trading at 4.1x FY13 P/E and 0.22x FY13 P/B. Reiterate BUY, with a TP of S$0.240 based on 0.5x (industry average) FY13 P/B.
Counter-cyclical cash cow optical media business. Challenged by the obsolescence in technology, the optical media industry has entered into a consolidation phase. Being one of the earliest players with a team of experience management and a strong track record, Swing Media managed to take up more market share in the shrinking pie. Growing at a CAGR of 14% in the past four years, this counter-cyclical optical media business has helped the group sail through the financial crisis, generating decent profits and cash flow.
Capturing the domestic demand for solar power. Swing Media has successfully diversified into the solar power installation business, targeting at China's robust domestic demand. In demonstrating its determination, government has recently outlined concrete targets in boosting the domestic solar power install capacity, aiming to grow by 40% to 10 gigawatts this year. Shares of the solar panel makers had rallied following the news as market had turned positive towards the industry As such, we believe that the demand for
Swing Media's system integrating services will be robust.
State-owned enterprise is a good customer to start with. Swing Media has started to execute its solar panel installation contract with PetroChina, building eight of them in Shanghai, ZheJiang and in Tibet. Management shared that the group possesses enough engineers to scale up to installing 20 - 30 petrol stations at any one point of time. The group aims to complete 200 stations progressively over two years, generating aggregate revenue and profits of HKD180m and HKD35m respectively.