Kingsmen once again did well, with its 2Q12 PATMI rising 15.3% YoY (149% QoQ), to S$5.2m, on the back of revenue growth of 24.1% YoY (51% QoQ) to S$70.9m. The results were in line with expectations. Revenue growth was largely due to an increased number of theme park and MICE contracts. Its orderbook has grown considerably, to S$238m, from S$197m a year ago, of which all is expected to be recorded in FY12. We remain positive on Kingsmen, given its pipeline of contracts, supported by (1) relatively-strong consumerism in Asia, (2) Singapore as one of the top MICE destinations in Asia and (3) healthy growth of Asia's amusement industry. We are keeping our estimates intact. Kingsmen is currently trading at 7.9x forward earnings, or 5.3x (stripping out net cash of S$44.9m). Its peer average is 6.6x on ex-cash basis. Maintain BUY with TP of S$0.83 (previously S$0.76).
All business segments expected to remain healthy, despite the economic slowdown. All business segments recorded growth in 2Q12, led by its exhibitions and museums division. Management is optimistic of its prospects, as can be seen from the growth in its orderbook.
Strong net cash position. While management has always been constantly keeping in close contact with its clients to ensure timely collections, the improvement in end 2Q12's net cash position (23.4 S''/share) was largely attributed to a significant amount of progress billings and net collections received during the quarter. Kingsmen's operations have always generated positive cash flows. We are estimating net cash of S$38.0m as at end FY12.
Valuation is attractive. Kingsmen is currently trading at 7.9x forward earnings, or 5.3x stripping out net cash. Ascribing a P/E of 7x, and taking into account our net cash estimate, we raise our TP to S$0.83. Maintain BUY, for a stock that has consistently distributed stable and attractive dividends.
Updates
MICE industry expected to continue growing. Singapore remains one of the top MICE destinations in the world. Despite the global economic slowdown, Singapore has lined up several MICE events over the next couple of years. We believe Kingsmen would be in a good position to secure contracts for these events.
Retail interiors segment still healthy. With new malls sprouting up across the island, retailers refurbishing existing outlets and setting up new outlets in Singapore (e.g. H&M's upcoming outlet at ION Orchard), Kingsmen is poised to benefit from such activities too. On top of that, Kingsmen also has the potential to service these clients when they set up outlets across the region. 2H12 would also see a number of retail events/launches by Kingsmen's clients. Growth in its Interiors division is also expected to be helped by its fixtures and exports business. As EU and US retailers face an economic slowdown in their local industry, Kingsmen's fixtures exports allow these retailers a more cost effective solution to their interiors needs. Management indicated that this segment has seen good growth over the past year.
Robust growth expected in Asia's theme parks industry. A number of new theme parks are scheduled to open in Asia over the next few years as property developers and entertainment companies target Asia's rapidly growing middle class. Given Kingsmen's track record in the thematic and scenic construction segment, we think it would be able to ride on the amusement industry's growth in Asia. Kingsmen has started on the thematic works for a number of theme parks in the region, slated to open in 2013 ' 2014. Having carried out works for Disney in Hong Kong, Kingsmen will be involved in Disney's Shanghai theme park, scheduled for 2016.