2Q12 results in-line with our expectations. ComfortDelGro's (CD) 2Q12 PATMI came in within our expectations at S$65m (+22% QoQ, +9% YoY) on the back of higher revenue of S$885m (+3% QoQ; +5% YoY) with operating margins down 0.2ppt YoY to 12.0% (1Q12 EBIT margin: 10.9%). 2Q12 PATMI made up 25.3% of our full year estimate. We raise our FY12/13 earnings estimates by 2%. We continue to favour CD who has displayed strength in its overseas business. With recent acquisition of Deanes Transit Group in Australia, and factoring further overseas growth potential, we raise our long term growth assumption by 0.5ppt to 2.0%. Maintain BUY with higher TP of S$1.85 (from S$1.75 previously) based on DCF (WACC:9.3%; TGR: 2.0%)
Auto Engg services supported growth; Singapore Bus losses widened. CD's 2Q12 EBIT growth was largely supported by the Automotive Engineering Services segment in which EBIT grew 86% YoY to S$15.4 (+66% QoQ) on the back of stronger diesel sales. Singapore Bus performance remained lacklustre, with losses increasing by 224% YoY to S$4.8m as high fuel, staff, repair and maintenance and depreciation costs continue to compress margins. CD has commented that 90% of fuel costs over the next six months for SG have been hedged. On a positive note, 60% of electricity costs have been hedged for the rest of FY12, at a rate better than that in 1H12.
Continue to look for overseas expansion opportunities. We believe CD's strong overseas network allows it room for opportunities outside a somewhat saturated Singapore market. Though we expect its recent acquisition of Deanes Transit Group in Australia to only contribute ~1.4% to FY13 EBITDA, such acquisitions substantiates CD's stance on looking towards overseas for growth. As such we have increased our long term growth assumption by 0.5ppt to 2.0%.
Valuations attractive. At FY12 P/E of 13.5x, CD remains more attractive than SMRT's 18x FY13 P/E (FYE Mar). CD's widespread overseas network allows it better overseas growth prospects which we view as a strong advantage.