Strong growth from Utilities but lower contribution from marine. Sembcorp Industries (SCI) reported strong 2Q12 net profit of S$191m (+8% QoQ, +9% YoY) thanks to a good quarter from the Utilities division (+30% YoY). SCI's 1H12 net profit of S$367m (+10% YoY) was 49% of our estimate and 48% of consensus'. We lower our FY12-13 net profit estimates by 2% and 4% respectively to reflect our downward revision to SMM's estimates. Maintain BUY with a revised TP of S$6.28. We see catalysts from (1) potential IPO of its Salalah water and power plant and (2) EPS accretive M&A activities.
Utilities growth mainly driven by higher gas sales in Singapore and Salalah Utilities' 1H12 net profit of S$198m (+44% YoY) was 56% of our FY12 estimate. Key takeaways: (1) 2Q12 earnings from Singapore jumped +36% YoY mainly due to additional gas sales. SCI's second gas sales agreement (started in Nov 2011) bumped up its total capacity by 26% to 431Bbtu of natural gas per day. (2) 2Q12 net profit from Middle East & Africa rose +64% YoY thanks to the new contribution from its 60% owned Salalah IWPP from May 2012. (3) SCI intends to do an IPO for its Salalah plant within the next two years. We think the market will take the news positively. (4) Singapore cogen plant will shut down for six to seven weeks for a major maintenance in 2H12.
Key projects progressing well. SCI added a new waste water treatment plant in Banyan in Aug 2012. All the major projects in the pipeline are progressing as planned: (1) a 400MW cogen plant and multi-utilities facilities in Banyan on track for completion in 4Q13; and (2) a 1,320MW coal-fired power plant in India on track to be ready in 1H14.
Valuation: Revised TP to S$6.28 (from S$6.30). Our TP is based on sum-of-the-parts (SOTP): (1) Utilities using DCF at 8% WACC; (2) SMM at our TP of S$5.70/share; (3) Gallant Venture at market value of S$0.28/share; (4) and adjust for SCI's effective net debt.