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M1 - Subsidy Hiccup (Downgrade to HOLD, TP SGD2.45)

kiasutrader
Publish date: Tue, 17 Jul 2012, 09:38 AM
Downgrade to HOLD. M1's full year earnings outlook is now more uncertain on a 2Q12 miss, and the company has withdrawn its earnings guidance. The current re-rating of the stock is likely to be cut short for now. We have cut our FY12 forecast by 5%, which could fall further if demand for iPhone 5 is stronger than expected. We are not totally negative on M1 as there is a chance Android will hold its ground. Although we usually steer clear of neutral calls, we reckon this uncertainty should clear up within a couple of quarters. Its longer term catalysts such as data monetisation, 4G and NGNBN are still valid. Fair value is pegged at peer average PE of 14x or SGD2.45 for now.


Source: Maybank Kim Eng
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