Towards Financial Freedom

k1 Ventures - A low-ball offer

kiasutrader
Publish date: Fri, 06 Jul 2012, 09:38 AM

Key points
  • GKB's offer of $0.135/share for k1 undervalues the stock by 44%.
  • k1's investments in Knowledge Universe, Helm and China Grand Auto have significant upside potential.
  • Company's investments are ripe for divestments, and management is looking to distribute excess cash back to shareholders.
  • Our Target Price of $0.17, based on 30% discount to SOTP, implies 26% upside. Trading BUY.
Event
On  27  June  2012,  GKB  Holdings  made  a  voluntary  conditional  offer  for  k1 Ventures, offering 13.5''/share for all the outstanding shares, representing a 20% premium to the  last traded price and a discount  of 21% to its NAV of 17''/share. GKB is an investment vehicle owned by Keppel Corp, Steven Green (CEO of k1) and  BV  Singapore  in  the  proportion  45%,  42.7%  and  12.2%.  The  consortium currently owns a combined stake of 62% in k1, and will own 100% on successful closure  of  the  offer.  GKB's  offer  is  conditional  on  it  securing  at  least  90%  of  the outstanding  issued  shares  at  the  close  of  its  offer.  In  its  rationale  for  the privatization  move,  GKB  highlighted  the  inability  of  the  company  to  raise  new capital for expansion without diluting existing shareholders. It  has thus made the decision  to  focus  on  managing  its  existing  investments,  and  as  such,  does  not expect to tap the equity market in the foreseeable future, removing a reason for it to  remain  listed.  Other  factors  for  its  delisting  offer  were  the  compliance  costs associated with maintaining a listing and the low trading liquidity of the stock.

Our Take
The majority of k1's portfolio comprised of investments in privately-held companies. Disclosure of financial  data  for  these  privately-held  investments  is  either  limited  or  not  publicly  available.  This makes it difficult for investors to ascribe valuations to its investments and establish a fair value for the  stock.  The  long  gestation  period  for  these  private  investments  to  bear  fruit  also  deter  some prospective investors. To its credit, k1's investments have done creditably well under the current management  team  led  by  Steven  Green.  Following  a  series  of  successful  investments,  the company has, since 2005, distributed more than $470m, or 23''/share, back to shareholders. The remaining  portfolio  includes:  1)  a  80.1%  stake  in  Helm  Holding  Corporation,    a  railcar  and locomotive leasing company based in the United States; 2) a 12.2% stake in Knowledge Universe Holdings  (KUH),  the  largest  pre-school  education  service  provider  in  the  United  States;  3)  a US$100m  investment  in  the  preferred  shares  of  Guggenheim  Capital,  a  financial  services  firmwith US$100b under management; 4) 2.3m shares in  McMoRan, an E&P company based in the U.S.; 5) an undisclosed stake in China Grand Auto, the largest auto dealership group in China.

Source: OSK
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