We initiate coverage on Regal with a "BUY" rating and a 0.7x P/RNAV target price of S$0.43.
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Regal is poised to make the jump from a small niche developer to a substantially bigger one. As there is risk to this move, share prices have been weak of late, but a stake acquired now could bear enormous fruit in the medium term.
■ Malaysia's macro uncertainties are being played up in the media as dire, but they probably aren't as severe as is popularly believed.
■ The Sarawak property market is not well-covered or well-understood, and is stronger than that of West Malaysia.
■ Regal has two major projects that will require additional capital to complete. If it's able to realise its ambitions, the intrinsic value of the company increases dramatically.
■ An additional fillip to company value would come if it were to divest its precision division and devote itself entirely to property development, which would improve its attractiveness to investors.
■ The company is penalised by a short financial history, a confusing income statement and balance sheet, the uncertainties of the property sector and the macro environment. However, doing the required analysis suggests significant hidden upside.
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