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Midas Holdings - Making a comeback

StockFanatic
Publish date: Sun, 02 Mar 2014, 09:02 AM
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FY13 net profit of Rmb47.7m was spot on at 100% of our forecast, but was slightly above consensus. 4Q13 was the first quarter that Midas recognised revenue from the first high-speed rail (HSR) contract that it has won since 2011, which lent a boost to its earnings. Midas also seems to be on the recovery path, with inventory and receivable days falling for the third consecutive quarter.

We maintain our Add recommendation, but cut FY14-15 EPS by 4-12% due to lower margins and higher debt assumptions. Our target price slips to S$0.71, still based on 1.29x CY14 P/BV (a 20% discount to its average P/BV from 2010-2011). The key catalyst is new HSR contract wins.
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