Singapore Stock Market News

OCBC - Swayed by GEH's contributions

StockFanatic
Publish date: Mon, 04 Nov 2013, 01:48 PM
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2Q was a bad quarter while 3Q was great - we are talking about GEH. While OCBC's quarterly highs in NII and fee income were expected, the 3Q beat was primarily from GEH's non-par fund gains (MTM). Overseas earnings were lower due to forex weakness.

Although 3Q profit beat our and consensus expectations by a mile, thanks to GEH, we do not consider it cause to turn positive. Rising NPLs are a concern even if they are just normalising. 9M13 profit was 79% of our full-year estimate and triggers a 2-4% hike in our forecasts, primarily for GEH. Our GGM-based target price is lifted to S$10.40 due to EPS hikes. De-rating catalysts are rising credit costs. Maintain Underperform.
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