Operating loss expected in 3Q13, downgrade to HOLD.
Yongnam is expected to report an operating loss in the upcoming 3Q13 (to be released on 11 November) due to two factors -
(1) Cost overruns from three ongoing projects; and
(2) A significant one-off loss on disposal of fixed assets.
We lower our earnings estimates for FY13-15 by up to 37%, which places us significantly lower than consensus estimates. In view of the upcoming losses, which will dent FY13 earnings, and in the absence of new contracts being secured YTD, we are less optimistic about its earnings prospects. This leads us to downgrade Yongnam to a HOLD with a SGD0.24 TP, based on 10x FY14 EPS P/E (previously 10x FY13-15E P/E).
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