Singapore Stock Market News

Asia Pacific - Equity Strategy

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Publish date: Tue, 08 Oct 2013, 01:34 PM
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We recommend taking profit in interest rates and domestic economic sensitive stocks within ASEAN that have rallied strongly post the surprise decision to delay Fed tapering. We see this as a temporary reprieve for ASEAN that will not alter, substantially, the fundamental divergences that are beginning to emerge relative to North Asia.

The Fed has given ASEAN policy makers a stay of execution in order to implement structural reform without the added headwind of rising rates and weaker currencies. We are looking for a combination of further fiscal reform (Malaysia, Indonesia), rate hikes/currency stabilizing measures (Indonesia) or for markets to trade outright cheap (together with a reset lower of near term growth and earnings expectations) if we are to take more than a tactically positive stance. Stay long North Asia and sell the ASEAN rally.
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