Singapore Stock Market News

Plantations - Potash cartel breaks up

StockFanatic
Publish date: Fri, 02 Aug 2013, 12:42 PM
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Uralkali's plans to end its export sales of potash (What is that?) through the Belarusian Potash Company has led to the concern that potash prices could fall by 25% as competition in the potash market heats up. This will be positive for palm oil producers as there will be a reduction in fertiliser costs.

Our rough estimate reveals that a 25% drop in potash prices could boost planters' profit by as much as 7%. However, it is unclear whether the drop in potash prices will be as steep as those predicted by Uralkali. We keep our earnings forecasts unchanged and will review them once the planters have locked in their fertiliser costs. We maintain our Neutral rating as the sector lacks catalysts. Our top picks are First Resources, Wilmar and IOI Corp.
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