Animal spirits have been on the rampage. Ytd, equities
(+7.8%) have outperformed fixed income (+0.9%),
commodities (-1.4%) and gold (-6.4%). In terms of our
global macro asset strategy, we have been spot on thus
far for our broad call of Overweight (OW) equities,
Marketweight (MW) bonds, MW commodities and
Underweight (UW) gold.
The risk, however, of profit taking (correction) this 2Q13
for Equities has risen, given softness in US and various
other data. We do still believe a pull-back in equities
offers an attractive opportunity to accumulate our OWs
in US, CN & HK (on compelling valuations), ID, PH, TH
(resilient domestic demand) and SG (construction boom,
attractive dividend yield). No change to our view it's still
a year for stocks.
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