Singapore Stock Market News

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding - Two years of famine?

StockFanatic
Publish date: Thu, 08 Nov 2012, 02:01 PM
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2013-14 could pan out as Yangzijiang's worst years as it confronts an order drought, lower margins and potential delays and cancellations of existing orders. Jack-up rigs secured by end-2012 may not compensate for its looming earnings contractions.

9M12 net profit met expectations at 72% of our FY12 forecast (3Q at 23%) and 78% of consensus. But as new orders shrank 80% yoy to US$230m vs. our US$1.2bn expectation, we cut our EPS by 12-22%. Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral with a lower target price, now set at 0.8x CY13 P/BV (30% disc to last trough) in view of its limited earnings visibility (previously 6x CY13 P/E, 35% below 5-year mean).
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