Wheelock & Co (“Wheelock”, 20 HK) announced its FY17 results yesterday. FY17 revenue increased 17.1% YoY to HK$71.0b or 104% of our full-year forecast. FY17 PATMI increased 26.2% YoY to HK$20.6b, indicating an improvement over the weak 1H17 results. Excluding a HK$5.7b investment property revaluation gain and the HK$2.8b attributable gain from the disposal of 8 Bay East, core profit increased 2% YoY to HK$12.0b, or 109% of our full-year forecast which we consider slightly above expectations.
On a segmental basis, operating profit margins for investment properties (IP) remained steady at 83% while that for development properties (DP) dipped slightly from 20% to 19%. In particular, HK DP margins remained weak at 6% in FY17 (versus 28% in FY16, though slightly better than the 5% clocked in 1H17), while CN DP margin came in at 34% (higher than the 28% margins recorded in both FY16 and 1H17).
We would like to highlight three takeaways.
This third point remains somewhat of a concern, though we believe it is outweighed by the first when analyzing the Holdco. Going forward, we see the recovering HK retail market as a key catalyst for the narrowing of Wharf REIC’s and consequently Wheelock’s discount to book.
Upon applying 0.55x P/B to our updated FY18F forecasts, our fair value increases from HK$63.20 to HK$67.70. As of the closing prices on 12 Mar 2018, Wheelock is trading at a HK$45bn discount (~27% discount) to the market value of its stake in its three listed subsidiaries.
Since our initiation on 28 Dec 2018, the stock has delivered a total return of 9.4%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 3.3 ppt. We maintain BUY on Wheelock.
Source: OCBC Research - 13 Mar 2018
Created by kimeng | Dec 29, 2022
Created by kimeng | Dec 29, 2022