SGX Stocks and Warrants

United Overseas Bank - Lifted by lower taxes

kimeng
Publish date: Mon, 17 Feb 2014, 09:22 AM
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While bottomline surpassed our estimate, operating lines met our expectation.

Directionally, the operating trends echoed that of DBS and OCBC with sequentially higher NIM (+3bps), strong loan growth, resilient underlying credit quality.

Maintain BUY with a SGD23.60 TP (previously SGD23.40), based on 13x FY14E core EPS.

Ahead of expectations on lower taxation

UOB reported 4Q13 core PATMI of SGD773m (+5.9% QoQ, +11.1% YoY), beating our and consensus estimates. The results would have met our forecast if not for a lower-than-expected taxation. We fine tune our FY14-16 EPS by 1% after incorporating FY13 data.

No surprises; key operating metrics remain steadfast

Net interest margin (NIM) improved to 1.74% (+3bps QoQ, -2bps YoY) in 4Q13, its best in four quarters. The QoQ increase – larger than the 1bp recorded by both DBS and OCBC – was evidenced for its operations in Singapore (+1bp), Malaysia (+3bps), Thailand (+12bps) and Greater China (+1bp).

Similar to sector peers, UOB’s loan expansion (on constant currency terms) strengthened by 3.4% QoQ or 18.2% YoY, fuelled by regional markets (+7.0%, +16.8%) and Singapore (2.2%, 17.7%).

Asset quality held up well with NPL ratio of 1.1%, its best in more than 16 years. Overhead expenses remained well managed, which helped to keep cost-income ratio in check at 43.5% (2012: 42.4%, 2011: 42.9%).

We maintain our BUY call on UOB. Our SGD23.60 TP (previously: SGD23.40) is based on 13x FY14E core EPS – consistent with its rolling P/E mean since 2005.

Source: Maybank Kim Eng Research - 17 Feb 2014

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