SGX Stocks and Warrants

China Surprise Rate Cut - Twice in 1 Month

kimeng
Publish date: Fri, 06 Jul 2012, 10:03 AM
kimeng
0 5,634
Keeping track of stocks and warrants news

Warrants Highlight

China Surprise Rate Cut - Twice in 1 Month

Code Name Type Expiry Exercise Price
QT3W CN8000MBeCW120830 Call 30-Aug-12 8000
QT5W CN7800MBePW120830 Put 30-Aug-12 7800
QP3W CN8500MBeCW121129 Call 29-Nov-12 8500
QP5W CN7500MBePW121129 Put 29-Nov-12 7500

Yesterday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) surprised the markets by lowering its interest rates for the 2nd time in less than a month. The previous rate cut was on 8th June, which was her first time since 2008. Later in the evening, the European Central Bank (ECB) followed suit by cutting its interest rates to a record low of 0.75%.

 

The timing of the Chinese cut is ahead of market expectations, clearly showing that the Chinese government is concerned of its slowing economy. On Wednesday, the China HSBC services purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 52.3 in June, its slowest rate in 10 months. Earlier this week, a similar report showed that China’s manufacturing activity contracted for the 8th consecutive month.

Under the backdrop of the European debt crisis, the Chinese government is expected to announce more easing policies to a void a “crash landing”. With the China A50 index hovering near its 3-month low of 7,700, the question will be whether the Chinese stocks will slide further or rebound from here.

Investors who are bullish on the China markets could leverage their views using China A50 Index call warrants, while those who are bearish could consider buying put warrants.

What is China A50 Index
The FTSE A50 Index tracks the performance of the 50 largest A-share companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchange. It includes mega-names like Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank.

The China A50 futures have been gaining popularity in the Singapore trading community. According to SGX, China A50 futures trading doubled year-on-year to 669,752 contracts in June. In FY2012, China A50 futures volume more than tripled to 5.6mn contracts.

Singapore Market Wrap

ECB to cut interest rates to record low?

Yesterday was a mixed day for Asian markets. Shanghai and Japan closed lower while Hong Kong and Singapore added gains. Both the STI and the HSI had a relatively quiet morning and rallied only after the HSI returned from lunch break. The HSI ended the day at 19809.13, up 0.5% while the STI ended the day at 2971.47, up 0.8%. Investors were bullish on the expectations of a 25 basis point interest rate cut, which was scheduled to take place in the late evening.

Call STI 2950MBeCW120831 (QE8W) exercise level 2,950.*
Put STI 2850MBePW120831 (QE9W) exercise level 2,850.*

NOL completes restructuring
Financial year 2011 was a bad one for NOL with the company clocking US$428mil of losses as compared to a profit before tax of US$529mil in 2010. Financial results did not improve when they announced first quarter earnings in May. A loss before tax of US$241mil was reported and shortly after, NOL made plans for restructuring which included selling its HQ building in Alexandra as well as laying off a few hundred staff. This time round, the restructuring will contribute annual cost savings of US$70mil from 2013 onwards.
Investors took this piece of news well and NOL closed at $1.17, up 1.7% dod.

Call warrant NOL MB eCW121203 (QK8W) exercise price $1.10.*

CapitaLand to benefit from China home prices
China's new home prices in June increase for the first time in 10 months, according to a survey done by SouFun Holdings, China's biggest real estate website owner. This is a result of easing funding by lenders and the government pledging to support first-time home buyers.
Asia's largest property company, CapitaLand has more than 34% of its assets in China and the company's performance came up top among all the STI constituents yesterday, closing at $2.90, up 2.84%.

Call warrant CapitalaMBeCW120903 (P0ZW) exercise price $2.582.*
Call warrant CapitalaMBeCW120904 (QC5W) exercise price $2.979.*
Put warrant CapitalaMBePW121203 (QR6W) exercise price $2.60.*

Overnight Market Wrap

Stimulus plans not enough for investors

Yesterday, Europe had an eventful session. Within an hour, ECB met investors' expectations by cutting 25 basis points off interest rates and the People's Bank of China followed suit, decreasing interest rates for the second time this year. The Bank of England pumped in further stimulus to the tune of GBP50bil bringing total stimulus to GBD375bil.

Markets moved higher during the European session with expectations of extensive stimulus plans but were disappointed as some investors were anticipating more aggressive measures from the central banks to curb the debt crisis. Others were worried about the outlook of economic growth. ECB president, Mario Draghi mentioned at a press conference that "the economic growth in the euro area remains weak".

A decrease in initial jobless claims in the US attempted to bring the markets higher but was limited and S&P closed down 0.47%, ending the day at 1367.58. Initial jobless claims fell to 374K from 386K previously.

Overnight Markets

Indices Last Change
STI 2971.47 0.8%
HSI 19809.13 0.5%
DJIA 12896.67 -0.4%
S&P 500 1367.58 -0.5%
Nasdaq 2976.12 0.0%
China A50 7736.67 -0.9%

Corporate News

Corporate Announcements

Results announcements:
Thu 19 Jul: Keppel Corp 2Q12
Wed 25 Jul: Biosensors 1Q13
Fri 27 Jul: SGX 4Q12
Thu 2 Aug: SembCorp Marine 2Q12

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 0 of 0 comments

Post a Comment