Collin Seow Remisier Blog

Can This Performing Stock Continue To Fly?

Collin Seow
Publish date: Thu, 06 Oct 2022, 11:48 PM
Collin Seow
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Collin Seow (CFTe,CPM) is an experienced remisier who mentor his clients to help them to build a stock portfolio.

This article is for education purposes only, and not to be taken as advice to buy/sell. Please do your own due diligence before committing to any trade/investment.

Source: pexels.com

Since I was little, I’d ask my father to buy fries for me.

Back in the days before the use of mobile phones, I’d page my father letting him know that I was hungry. He’d get the hint and return home with a bag of hot and crispy fries.

Now, an adult, I still have a soft spot for fries!

I wonder if the creator of fries is still alive as I’d love to meet him.

Today, let’s dive into this company that supplies potatoes, the main ingredient for fries – Lamb Weston.

 

Brief History of Lamb Weston

Source: pexels.com

Lamb Weston was founded in 1950. It started off as a pea processing business.

Soon after, Lamb Weston entered the potato business.

Fries were getting popular, and this led to Lamb Weston researching for ways to produce more at with a shorter lead time. And they soon invented the water gun knife which did just that!

This slicing device soon caught on and quickly became the worldwide industry standard.

Its innovation carried on.

Source: lambweston.com/products/d23.html

Twister fries and Crisscut fries were invented and introduced. They were well-loved and continue to delight.

With strategic partnerships, acquisitions, continued innovation, and more, Lamb Weston expanded its operations to become the king of potato products today.

The history of Lamb Weston enthralls. But as a trader and investor, is this company healthy financially?

Let’s find out!

 

Business Model and Financials

Source: tradingview.com

To rate the financial health of Lamb Weston, let’s take a look at its revenue growth.

Lamb Weston’s revenue grew steadily from 2015 to 2018. From 2018 to 2020, its revenue stagnated. Its income continued to grow in 2021.

This is good news!

Now, let’s focus on its net income.

Its net income had been growing strong, year after year from 2015 to 2018. Since 2019, its net income has been dropping year after year, declining 13% in 2020, and 36% in 2021.

A sharp reduction in its profitability is a cause for concern.

Yet, the share price of Lamb Weston continues to fly! Is it time to position trade shares of Lamb Weston?

 

Technical Analysis on Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW)

From the chart of Lamb Weston above, you can tell that its share price is in a strong uptrend.

In the month of September, its share price consolidated before breaking out in early October. This is a sign of bullishness.

Do you notice a green arrow under its latest candle? The green arrow indicates that bullishness has returned. This means that the uptrend is resuming and this could prove to be a fantastic position trading opportunity.

Next, let’s have a look at the Trend Impulse Factor.

What’s the color of its latest bar?

Dark green! This is the color that you’ll want to see as it signifies the high possibility of bullishness continuing for weeks to months.

Seeing that the green arrow indicator is showing, and the bar of the Trend Impulse Factor is in dark green, Lamb Weston’s shares is ripe for a position trade.

You must be thinking – but its net income is shrinking. How can you reconcile this?

This piece of financial data has been published some time back and its share price is still going strong. Therefore, it pays to follow its price chart.

 

Conclusion

Source: lambweston.com/products/d0073.html

Lamb Weston has been in business for 72 years. Through innovation, strong management, and creating products that consumers love, it has been able to thrive.

But not all is rosy as Lamb Weston is facing a sharp decline in its net income in recent years.

Despite this, its share price is on the up, presenting an opportunity for a position trade.

Because the indicators are flashing a bullish signal, I believe that Lamb Weston’ share price will continue to rise, making it suitable for a position trade.

Both the red arrow and Trend Impulse Factor indicator have been tested and proven. They form the TradersGPS (TGPS) system to help you decipher if a stock is a cut above its peers. You won't have to feel in the dark and make wild guesses.

Therefore, I believe that its share price is highly likely to continue flying.

 

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