Singapore Stock Exchange

Stock Investor Sentiment Sinks, Teeing Up Rebound

Alex Gray
Publish date: Tue, 27 Aug 2013, 12:15 PM
Alex Gray
0 413
It is the high time to make the most of your surplus money. We offers free real time tips and recommendations for Stock Market, Forex, Commodity, Live Stock Market Data and more. invest with our tips and enjoy bigger profits on your small investment.
simply leave a contact no and email address or take a free trial now.
Bulls have turned tail and are on the run, according to investment-sentiment surveys, leaving traders to gauge whether the usually contrarian indicator means stocks could be poised to test all-time highs set earlier this month.

 The latest weekly survey from the American Association of Individual Investors, probably the most closely watched gauge of investor sentiment, found 42.9% of respondents were bearish on the outlook for stocks, versus 29% bullish and 28.2% neutral.
That marked a more than 14 percentage point rise in bearishness from the previous week, marking the highest level of pessimism since mid-April. Bull sentiment minus bear 
sentiment, as illustrated in the above chart, has now fallen to negative 14%. 

Yet another way to slice the sentiment data, the bull ratio, dropped to less than 40% from more than 73% less than two months earlier, said Jason Goepfert of Sentimenttrader.com. The bull ratio is bullish sentiment versus total bullish and bearish sentiment.
Such a rapid deterioration in sentiment from such a high level has occurred 11 other times in the last 26 years, Goepfert said. Nine out of those eleven times, the S&P 500 index was positive a month later, averaging a gain of 1.7%, he said. The outcome less than a month or more than three months later was much more mixed, Goepfert noted, adding that while sentiment has fallen sharply, it's not yet at a level showing "extreme pessimism."
That would require a bull ratio of less than 35%, with a reading closer to 25% usually required to signal that investors are entering the "throwing-in-the-towel" phase.
Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 0 of 0 comments

Post a Comment