Johor house best buy

TRANSGRID VENTURES' RESULTS VERSUS MN HOLDINGS (COMPARE & CONTRAST) Calivin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Fri, 06 Dec 2024, 12:20 AM
All freehold landed houses below rm500k (S$170K) are gold mines in Johor

Dear friends of i3 forum,


Two research houses are very bullish on Mn holdings while none recommended Hexcap which owns 49% of Transgrid Ventures


We have been told, "Look beyond the obvious to see deeper"


Yes. By the law of average when everyone is bullish the stock is already priced in

So we can expect average performance since price has already run up alot


So we MUST FIND THAT UNDERVALUE BARGAIN where few people have yet to pay attention & no Research house is bullish yet


So we Will Compare Laggard Hexcap with popular Mn holdings


Let us see



HLIB starts coverage of MN Holdings, target price at RM1.12
07 Jun 2024, 08:41 am Updated - 11:46 am
main news image

KUALA LUMPUR (June 7): Hong Leong Investment Bank (HLIB) has initiated coverage of MN Holdings Bhd (KL:MNHLDG) with a 'buy' rating at 77 sen, and with a target price of RM1.12, based on an 18 times price-earnings ratio for earnings for the financial year ending June 30, 2025 (FY2025).

In a note on Friday, the research house said the group’s strong track record in serving Tenaga Nasional Bhd or TNB (KL:TENAGA), data centre owners, and solar engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning (EPCC) contractors positions it as a strong contender for upcoming power infrastructure projects.

“With a robust order book valued at RM447.5 million, we project MN Holdings’ FY2023-25 core profit after tax to register a strong compound annual growth rate of 32.8%.






MN Holdings (MNHLDG MK) - Another Record Year in the Making


Publish date: Thu, 05 Dec 2024, 10:31 AM

1QFY25 was off to a strong start

MN Holdings (MN) posted revenue of RM103m (+87% YoY) and core net profit of RM10m (+155% YoY) in 1QFY25, alongside 1ppts in EBITDA margin. The group secured RM315m of new orders in FY25, bringing the outstanding order book to RM601m, translating to a strong 2.4x cover on FY24 revenue. The order book mainly consists of orders from DC (48%), TNB (31%), solar (4%), water sewerage (4%), and others (10%). The solid order book is expected to sustain earnings growth momentum in FY25E (+65% YoY).

Record-high tender book signals promising prospects ahead

The group’s record-high tender book of RM1.2bn (+20% QoQ) as of Nov24 reaffirms our positive outlook on MN. TNB-related projects form the largest portion at 43%, recently approved under TNB Green Lane Pathway specifically for data centres (DC), followed by Sarawak Energy (31%). The remaining tender books are diversified across industries, including solar (9%), DC (5%), water sewerage (3%), and others (10%). We noted that MN has excluded bids where it holds the priority of first right refusals with key clients, potentially adding another c.RM300m (25%) to its tender book. The expected tender results to be announced in 1HCY25 include Sarawak Energy and several utility infrastructure work packages for two main DC clients. With its record-high tender book, we believe MN is on track for FY25, surpassing FY24 new contract wins of RM349m.

Maintain BUY with TP of RM1.20

We reiterate our BUY rating and RM1.20 target price, pegged to 20x PE multiple on fully diluted CY25 EPS. We like MN as a proxy for Malaysia’s expanding power infrastructure and strategic exposure in the rapidly growing DC and solar sectors. Key risks to our BUY call include slower-than-expected project rollouts affecting order book replenishment and unforeseen delays.

Source: Philip Capital Research - 5 Dec 2024

  • We remain upbeat on MN’s earnings growth prospects backed by its RM601m order book and promising tender prospects
  • The higher tender book of RM1.2bn has not included several priority DC work packages totalling c.RM300m, which are expected to be rolled out in 1HCY25
  • Maintain BUY rating and RM1.20 target price


NOW LET US TAKE A LOOK AT THIS YEAR 3 QUARTERLY EARNINGS OF MN HOLDINGS (REFER BURSA)


SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

31 Mar 2024


INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

31 Mar 2024
31 Mar 2023
31 Mar 2024
31 Mar 2023
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
51,112
45,779
181,184
113,840
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
6,583
4,817
17,831
9,921
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
4,835
3,594
13,028
7,368
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
4,700
3,696
12,778
7,472
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
1.12
0.90
3.09
1.83
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00


AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
0.2400
0.1700



SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30 Jun 2024


INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

30 Jun 2024
30 Jun 2023
30 Jun 2024
30 Jun 2023
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
73,435
49,194
254,619
164,452
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
7,304
3,294
25,133
13,184
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
4,949
2,043
17,975
9,297
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
4,956
2,137
17,733
9,502
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
1.10
0.52
4.19
2.33
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00


AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
0.2600
0.1700




SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30 Sep 2024


INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
MYR'000
MYR'000
MYR'000
MYR'000
1
Revenue
103,106
55,148
103,106
55,148
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
9,888
5,574
9,888
5,574
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
7,036
4,186
7,036
4,186
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
7,082
4,152
7,082
4,152
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
1.49
1.02
1.49
1.02
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.15
0.00
0.15
0.00


AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
0.2800
0.2500



SO THE 3 QUARTERLY RESULTS ARE

RM4.7 MILLIONS (JAN TO MARCH 2024)
RM4.956 MILLIONS (APRIL TO JUNE 2024)
RM7.082 MILLIONS (JULY TO SEPTEMBER 2024)

TOTAL SO FAR RM16.738 MILLIONS

NOW WE DO NOT HAVE A REVEALED RECORD OF TRANSGRID VENTURE BALANCE SHEET

HOWEVER, WE CAN GET IT BY WAY OF DEDUCTION THROUGH ELIMINATION FROM THE LATEST RESULTS OF HEXCAP

HEXCAP OWNS 4 COMPANIES

HEXCAP  (OPCOM ORIGINAL BUSINESS)
BINACOM (LISTED ASSOCIATE)
TRANSGRID VENTURES (UNLISTED ENTITY OF WHICH HEXCAP OWNS 49% SHARE)
AND T & J CONSTRUCTION ABSORBED INTO HEXCAP (THIS IS A CLASS 7 CONTRACTOR AND CAN TENDER FOR GOVT PROJECTS AT THE HIGHEST LEVEL

NOW SEE HEXCAP PRESS RELEASE  (REFER BURSA)


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

HEXTAR CAPITAL BERHAD (FORMERLY KNOWN AS OPCOM HOLDINGS BERHAD) REPORTS POSITIVE

EBITDA OF RM23.7 MILLION FOR FYE 2024 AMID STRATEGIC DIVERSIFICATION

Shah Alam, 29 November 2024: HEXTAR CAPITAL BERHAD (formerly known as Opcom Holdings Berhad)

(“HCB” or the “Company”) reported a positive Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and

Amortization(“EBITDA”) of RM23.7 million for the financial year ending 2024 (“FYE 2024”) on the back

of a consolidated revenue of RM117.7 million for the year. However, after accounting adjustments and

goodwill impairments, HCB recorded a loss before tax of RM3.1 million and a loss after tax of RM3.5

million.

The loss recorded for FYE 2024 was due mainly to accounting adjustments and goodwill impairments,

including amortization of intangible assets amounting to RM26.2 million, goodwill impairment of RM3.1

million, and unwinding of interest expenses on deferred consideration totaling RM3.2 million. Excluding

these non-cash adjustments, HCB would have achieved a profit before tax of RM29.4 million.

The Group’s strategic investments in Transgrid Ventures Sdn. Bhd. and the additional 6.75% stake in

Binasat Communications Berhad have continued to yield positive returns. Year-to-date, contributions to

profits from these associates amounted to RM8.5 million, reflecting their strong performance and

alignment with the Group’s strategic goals.

Since diversifying into the construction and project management segment, HCB has through its whollyowned subsidiary, T & J Engineering Sdn. Bhd. commenced the RM97.0 million Universiti Malaysia

Kelantan (“UMK”) student hostel project in Bachok where T & J Engineering Sdn. Bhd. is to supply

materials, labour, tools and equipment for the execution of civil and structural, architectural and

mechanical works. This project has progressed on schedule, reinforcing the Group’s capability to deliver

infrastructure projects and strengthening its presence in the construction sector. The successful

execution of this project is expected to pave the way for future opportunities in this growing segment.

Commenting on the Group’s performance, Johnson Chang, Managing Director of HCB, stated: “Despite

the adjustments and impairments recorded during this financial year, our positive EBITDA and operating

income demonstrate the resilience of our core operations. These results reinforce the strength of our

business model and the effectiveness of our diversification strategy.



NOW READ AGAIN

The Group’s strategic investments in Transgrid Ventures Sdn. Bhd. and the additional 6.75% stake in

Binasat Communications Berhad have continued to yield positive returns.

Year-to-date, contributions to

profits from these associates amounted to RM8.5 million,




FROM ABOVE WE GATHER THAT TRANSGRID VENTURES & BINACOM HAVE CONTRIBUTED A PROFIT OF RM8.5 MILLIONS

NOW WE DO NOT HAVE THE FIGURES FROM TRANSGRID VENTURES AS IT IS NOT PUBLICLY LISTED

HOWEVER, WE CAN SEE BINACOM RESULTS AS IT IS LISTED

PLEASE REFER TO BURSA BINACOM RESULTS

RM692,000
RM621,000
RM356,000

TOTAL IS RM1.669 MILLIONS


OK SEE HOW MUCH HEXCAP OWNS BINACOM SHARES

HexCap completes Binacom stake buy, raises shareholding to 24.78%


SINCE HEXCAP OWNS 24.78%

THE PROFIT OF HEXCAP IN BINACOM
IS 24.78/100 X RM1.669

= RM413,578

SO TO GET TRANSGRID VENTURE PROFIT

RM8.5 MILLIONS DEDUCT BY RM413,578

RMRM8.086 MILLIONS

NOW SINCE HEXCAP SHARE OF TRANSGRID IS 49%

WE CAN DOUBLE THE REAL TIME PROFIT OF TRANSGRID TO RM16.173 MILLIONS

COMPARED TO MN HOLDINGS RM16.738 MILLIONS
TRANSGRID VENTURES PROFIT OF RM16.173 MILLIONS IS NOT TOO FAR

MOREOVER,

WE KNOW THUS FAR FROM BURSA JOBS AWARDED TO MN HOLDINGS THE 275 KV (KILO VOLT JOBS) ARE FEW AND MANY CONSIST OF 132 KV & 33 KV SMALLER JOBS

BUT TRANSGRID VENTURES' PAST RECORD TELLS US IT HAS WON MANY BIGGER 500 KV (KILO VOLT) PROJECTS WHICH COMMAND THE HIGHEST VALUE

FROM NEXT MONTH 2025 TO 2030

TNB WILL ROLL OUT THE RM90 BILLIONS (NOT MILLIONS) CAPEX FOR POWER TRANSMISSION

ENOUGH JOBS FOR BOTH MN HOLDINGS & HEXCAP'S PARTNER TRANSGRID HOLDINGS

AND THE NEXT FIVE YEARS WILL SHOW PHENOMENAL PROFITS

MN HOLDINGS SHARE PRICE HAS JUMPED TO ITS HIGHEST WHILE HEXCAP HAS FALLEN TO BARGAIN BASEMENT LEVEL & UNLOVED

HENCE AS CONTRARIAN WE LOVE HEXCAP

WITH KIND REGARDS

Calvin Tan

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund manager
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