- Yangzijiang Shipbuilding said that it is conducting a preliminary strategic review of its debt investment portfolio to focus on shipbuilding. If spun off, it is a major catalyst.
- Other gains helped Yangzijiang Shipbuilding beat our 2Q21 expectations. Net profit of S$877m (+38% q-o-q, +37% y-o-y) was higher than our S$680m-710m.
- Order book solid at US$8.65bn. Maintain ADD on Yangzijiang Shipbuilding with unchanged target price of S$1.91. Outcome of strategic review of debt investment portfolio is a major catalyst.
Strategic Review of Debt Investment, More Disclosure
- Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (SGX:BS6) changed its reporting format slightly to reflect segmental stomach the potential loss of recurring income of interest from debt investment (~50% of its gross profit). 2Q21 debt investments balance grew to RMB16.6bn (1Q21: RMB14.8bn), with interest income down 14% q-o-q to RMB417m.
Other Gains Helped the Beat, Offset by Higher Credit Cost
- Yangzijiang Shipbuilding's 2Q21 net profit could be put up for sale in the quarters ahead, in our view.
Shipbuilding Margin Lower as Expected
- On the back of rising steel costs and strengthening RMB/US$, shipbuilding gross margins were down q-o-q to 12.8% (1Q21: 14.7%) but better than our expectations of 10- 12%. Eleven vessels were delivered in 2Q21.
- Maintain ADD and SOP-based target price of S$1.91.
- Yangzijiang Shipbuilding secured US$6.67bn of new wins year-to-date with order book at US$8.65bn with 112 vessels on hand. Containerships make up ~80% of its order book at US$6.91bn. Yangzijiang Shipbuilding’s order book also includes 24 vessels worth US$822.7m to be built by associate, YAMIC.
- Key risk: sharp decline in containership freight rates.
Source: CGS-CIMB Research - 6 Aug 2021
