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Simons Trading Research

Author: simonsg   |   Latest post: Fri, 15 Nov 2019, 12:20 PM

 

Delfi - Sweet and Steady Ride; Still a Top BUY

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  • Reiterate BUY, new Target Price of SGD1.68 from SGD1.59, 16% upside and 2% FY19F yield.
  • Delfi delivered a strong 4Q18 core PATMI of USD5.4m (+60% y-o-y), which took FY18 core PATMI to USD23m (+33% y-o-y), beating our estimate by 4%.
  • We increase FY19-21F earnings by 5-6% which, in turn, lifts our DCF-derived Target Price.
  • Delfi remains one of our Top Picks for Singapore consumer counters this year.

FY18 Results Are Above Expectations

  • During the year, DELFI LIMITED (SGX:P34) booked 12% y-o-y revenue growth. This was largely driven by a strong sales momentum in premium products – especially in Indonesia, where sales of its own-brand products jumped 18% y-o-y.
  • The regional markets recorded 10% growth in revenue, led by both own brands and agency brands. The increased contribution from premium products improved its overall gross margin by 0.6ppt.

Still Positive on FY19F

  • Moving into 2019, Delfi should continue to enjoy higher demand for its confectionery products, driven by solid economic growth. It will continue to right-size or reprice lower-end products to ensure they generate sufficient margins, as well.
  • We believe this would bring about continued improvements in gross margins.
  • Delfi also fully implemented the SAP system last year. As such, we believe administrative costs should remain stable for FY19.

A Sweet and Steady Ride

  • Delfi’s share price has outperformed the STI by 5.2% YTD. That said, we believe there is still room for further upside, based on its prospects for FY19. The stock is currently trading at 24x FY19F P/E, ie at a discount to its peer, Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ), which is expected to demonstrate similar earnings growth and is trading at 29x FY19F P/E.
  • Our Target Price of SGD1.68 implies 28x FY19F P/E, which we believe is still reasonable.

Source: RHB Invest Research - 01 Mar 2019

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Labels: Delfi

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