Simons Trading Research

Author: simonsg   |   Latest post: Tue, 20 Aug 2019, 9:19 AM


CSE Global - Wins on Home Ground; Maintain BUY

Author:   |    Publish date:

  • CSE Global secured SGD84.8m infrastructure projects on home ground, bringing the segment’s order intake to SGD150.5m (+43.6% y-o-y) for FY18. The orders included government contracts for the provision of communication, and security solutions that involve surveillance work.
  • Taking into consideration the typical quarterly infrastructure order intake of SGD20-25m, we estimated the large orders to be SGD59-64m, consisting of the maintenance portion that should be recognised over several years.
  • Supposing 70-80% of the orders are project revenue, we estimate that project component to be recognised over the next few years should about SGD43- 49m.
  • Maintain BUY and DCF-backed TP of SGD0.59, 40% upside, plus 7% yield.

New Projects in the Pipeline to Boost Orderbook

  • CSE GLOBAL LTD (SGX:544) is currently pursuing a few more projects in the infrastructure space. Recent contract wins are testament to its capabilities of providing mission-critical solutions. We are optimistic that it will be able to continue its winning streak.

Working on Accretive Acquisitions

  • We understand that CSE Global is currently working with target companies, and remain hopeful that the acquisitions will be finalised in 1H19.
  • On 10 Jan 2019, it announced the acquisition of Blackstar Services for USD2.375m. This acquisition should boost product offering for the oil & gas segment.

Sound Balance Sheet and Attractive 6.5% Dividend Yield

  • Net cash of SGD 34.4m as at end-Sep 2018 should support its dividend payout, and the execution of its expansion plan.

Expect 4Q18 Results to be in Line, If Not, Better

  • We believe that short-term volatility in the oil prices would not affect CSE Global’s oil & gas segment, as business flow remains stable. However, we do not foresee major greenfield projects coming on-stream anytime soon. Despite the lack of mega projects, we still see growth in the area of smaller brownfield and greenfield projects.
  • We keep our forecasts unchanged, as large greenfield projects (SGD42m) secured in 2017 are near completion, and new contracts secured (c.SGD59- 64m) would likely offset the absence of revenue from the oil & gas segment as earlier forecasted.
  • Overall, we expect 4Q18 and FY18 results to be in line with our forecasts, and do not expect any negative surprises.

Source: RHB Invest Research - 16 Jan 2019

Share this
Labels: CSE Global

Related Stocks

Chart Stock Name Last Change Volume 
CSE Global 0.46 +0.005 (1.10%) 586 

  Be the first to like this.


128  100  176  698 

Top 10 Active Counters
 ESR-REIT 0.52+0.01 
 Ascott Reit 1.29-0.01 
 Mapletree Com Tr 2.08+0.01 
 Suntec Reit 1.930.00 
 Mapletree NAC Tr 1.340.00 
 Ascendas Reit 3.08+0.01 
 CapitaR China Tr 1.480.00 
 Frasers L&I Tr 1.21+0.01 
 Mapletree Log Tr 1.56-0.01 
 CapitaCom Trust 2.090.00 


1. Singapore REITs: When It Rains (again), Open the REITs Umbrella SGX Stocks and Warrants
2. Phillip Capital Morning Note - 21 Aug 2019 Trader Hub
3. Reinventing Soilbuild Group PropertyInvestment
4. Baidu Inc: On a diet SGX Stocks and Warrants
5. Guest Post - Lessons Learnt From My Temporary Retirement A Path to Forever Financial Freedom
Partners & Brokers