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Simons Trading Research

Author: simonsg   |   Latest post: Wed, 17 Aug 2022, 10:12 AM

 

Valuetronics - the Worst Should be Over; Upgrade to NEUTRAL

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  • Valuetronics (SGX:BN2) endured an expected tough FY22 (Mar), with revenue and PATMI falling 11.1% and 39.3% y-o-y mainly due to lower contribution from the industrial and commercial electronics (ICE) segment, higher component prices, as well as increased labour and operating costs.
  • Despite these issues persisting, ICE should rebound from newly acquired customers. Hence, we upgrade our call as we think the worst may be over, albeit, headwinds still ahead.
  • Upgrade Valuetronics to NEUTRAL from Sell, with new DCF-backed target price of S$0.53, 0% downside.

Supply Issue and High Costs to Persist

  • Component supply problem which has resulted in extreme price surges, prolonged order lead times, frequent delivery delinquency, and consequential productivity losses will likely continue to persist.
  • Management guided to continue to proactively mitigate the adverse impact by identifying alternative parts and reengineer products to lower cost while leveraging on Valuetronics’s supply chain knowledge to identify new sources of supply. However, GPM will likely continue to remain pressured in the near term.

ICE Poised for Growth But Consumer Electronics (CE) Will Likely Decline

  • In FY22, ICE declined mainly due to a significant drop in sales from its automotive customer, which switched its production to another vendor in North America, while component shortages also affected the order fulfilment of certain customers. However, we believe all is not lost going forward as Valuetronics has been preparing for the trial production for newly acquired customers in this segment including a hardware provider customer for retail chain stores and a customer providing cooling solutions for high performance computing environments. These customers are expected to contribute positively in FY23F. However, the CE segment will likely decline due to lower forecasts from customers and the component shortage issue.
  • All in, we still expect the effect to be a net positive as the ICE segment yields better margins and profitability.

Source: RHB Invest Research - 8 Jun 2022

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Labels: Valuetronics

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Chart Stock Name Last Change Volume 
Valuetronics 0.54 +0.01 (1.89%) 105,000 

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