Simons Trading Research

Author: simonsg   |   Latest post: Mon, 8 Aug 2022, 9:09 AM


Frencken Group - No Surprises in 3Q21 Business Update

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  • Frencken’s 3Q21 earnings of S$14.8m (+10.7% y-o-y, -10.8% q-o-q) took 9M21 net profit to 77% of our full-year estimate. The business update presented no surprises, as revenue continued to be led by a positive momentum in the semiconductor segment, driving improved operating leverage.
  • We expect the semiconductor segment to continue driving growth going forward, driven by the accelerating development of 5G technology. Maintain BUY.

Frencken's 3Q21 Net Profit in Line With Expectations

  • In its business update, Frencken (SGX:E28) reported headline 3Q21 earnings of S$14.8m (+10.7% y-o-y, -10.8% q-o-q), taking 9M21 net profit to 77% of our full-year estimate. 3Q21 revenue of S$196.5m (+18.7% y-o-y) was in line with its previous guidance; growth was led by the semiconductor (+42.7%), analytical (+29.0%) and medical (+21.8%) segments, which were offset partially by declines in the industrial automation (-17.0%) and automobile (-5.6%) segments.
  • For the quarter, gross margin eased 0.5ppt y-o-y and q-o-q to 17.1% due to expected increases in material and freight costs. This brought 9M21 gross margin to 17.3%, largely in line with our estimates of 17.4% for 2021.

Structural Growth Drivers in the Semiconductor Sector Intact

  • Frencken remains in a good indicative demand from clients points towards continued growth going into 2022.

Near-term Demand for Semiconductor Components to Remain Strong

  • The current chip of the secular uptrend, which is likely to be sustained into 2022.

Gross Margin Uplift Towards 17.4%

  • This compares with the 15.2-16.9% range in 2016-19, with the increase attributable to the higher share of the more profitable semiconductor segment from 16% in 2016 to an estimated 40% in 2022 (2020: 30%). Additionally, the ongoing group-wide cost-cutting measures and efficiency improvements such as upgrading of equipment and facilities are expected to improve operating margins, further bolstering bottom-line.

Valuation & Recommendation

  • No changes to supported by its strong earnings growth profile, with EPS CAGR estimated at 24% over 2020-23.
  • Catalysts:
    • Higher-than-expected factory utilisation rates.
    • Better-than-expected cost management.

Source: UOB Kay Hian Research - 18 Nov 2021

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Labels: Frencken

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Frencken 1.31 +0.06 (4.80%) 7,681,200 

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