Highlights
SGX: ThaiBev (Y92)       THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD
Last Price Today's Change   Day's Range   Trading Volume
0.955   +0.005 (0.53%)  0.935 - 0.955  2,827,000

Overview

Avg Volume (4 weeks):15,682,645
4 Weeks Range:0.935 - 0.985
4 Weeks Price Volatility (%):
40.00%
52 Weeks Range:0.83 - 0.99
52 Weeks Price Volatility (%):
78.12%
Average Price Target: 1.04
Price Target Upside/Downside: +0.085

Market Buzz

Date Type Subject
12-Dec-2017 Announcement Request for Trading Halt::Request for trading halt

Headlines

Date Subject
19-Sep-2017 Thai Beverage: Keeping Rating Amid New Excise Taxes
18-Sep-2017 Thai Beverage: New Excise Tax Rates Set
14-Aug-2017 Thai Beverage: Soft Consumption Environment
10-Aug-2017 Thai Beverage: From An Alcohol Player To a F&B Giant (BUY)
10-Aug-2017 Thai Beverage: Potential Acquisition of KFC Stores in Thailand
30-Jun-2017 Thai Beverage: Pending Details for Change in Excise Taxes
13-Jun-2017 Consumer Sector: A Pick Up in Sentiments?
15-May-2017 Thai Beverage: Focusing on Profitability for FY17
12-May-2017 Thai Beverage: 1HFY17 Within Our Expectations
13-Apr-2017 Why ThaiBev is attracting restructuring interest
10-Apr-2017 Here's why RHB is starting coverage on ThaiBev with a 'buy'
31-Mar-2017 Thaibev started at 'buy' by UOB as spirits dominate market and beer sales improve
23-Mar-2017 Long awaited revamp will push this company a step closer to being regional F&B player
23-Mar-2017 This company is a step closer to being regional F&B player
14-Mar-2017 Consumer sector: Awaiting signs for a sustained pick-up in consumption
06-Mar-2017 Thai Beverage: Campaigns and products in push for growth
22-Feb-2017 Here are some stocks DBS says should benefit from Budget 2017
16-Feb-2017 ThaiBev growth to pick up as consumption bottoms out
15-Feb-2017 Beer segment brings cheer to Thai Beverage
15-Feb-2017 Thai Beverage: 1QFY17 results within expectations

Business Background

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited is engaged in the production, distribution of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, Japanese restaurants and bakery shops. The Company operates in four business segments: spirits, beer, non-alcoholic beverages and food. Spirits include production and sales of branded spirits products. Beer includes production and sales of branded beer products. Non-alcoholic beverages include production and sales of branded soda, water, ready-to-drink coffee, energy drink, green tea and fruit juice flavor. Food includes Japanese restaurants, bakery shops and distribution of food and beverage. Its product portfolio include SangSom, SangSom Superior, Mekhong, Mekhong (Flask), Drummer, SangSom Similan, Blend 285, Crown 99, Hong Thong, Mungkorn Thong, Ruang Khao 28 Degrees, Paitong 30 Degrees, White Bear 30 Degrees, Chang Classic, Chang Light and Meridian. In November 2010, Soda Chang launched Flavored Soda with two variants, Bitter Lime-Lemon and Apple Mint.

  4 people like this.
 
sgx_swinger thbev may be a good buy at 56 for a quick punt
18/04/2013 16:42
barca Bounce off again from 0.59 on 1st July.
02/07/2013 18:16
TomYam ThaiBev: Will It Resume Mid-Term Uptrend?

From the weekly chart, we can see that ThaiBev is still in an uptrend.

While the stock dropped for the past two to three weeks following a severe drop in Straits Times Index (STI), ThaiBev is still considered relatively strong compared to STI given that it is a component stock and did not drop much recently. Notably, when most of the blue chips dropped yesterday, ThaiBev did not make a new low, signifying signs of strength.

The STI dropped 80 points yesterday and it is likely to have another round of panic selling this morning. However, the stock may have a short-term rebound in the next few days or even before today’s market close.

ThaiBev may rebound stronger than STI and likely to resume mid-term uptrend in the next few weeks. One may consider buying on breakout for this stock. The stop loss will be one bid below the recent low.
10/07/2013 16:01
TomYam Standard Chartered Bank issued report on July 5th with target price of 0.75cents.

So we have the following target prices :

1. CIMB - 0.77

2. DBS - 0.80

3. SCB - 0.75
10/07/2013 16:04
tsl123 What happen? Sudden drop today.
18/07/2013 13:52
grace2 downgrade by USB to 0.51.
18/07/2013 19:42
kingsonlen Standard Chartered target 0.75 on 5 July 2013
19/07/2013 23:36
john_ric analyst are not gods. they just guesstimate.

ubs analyst has a .51 sgd TP.
Looking at the recent down trend of thaibev, he may be right.

Also based on the chart, thaibev is oversold and may be rebound any time now.
20/07/2013 20:16
clarence_yeo2003 analyst call usually post target price for one year timeframe so it may go up to 0.8 in 1 year time coz they are long term investor perspective.
22/07/2013 11:21
11259jas Any advice on this counter?
23/07/2013 22:09
barca Nirgunan who has a “buy” call and price target of 75 cents......????
24/07/2013 19:03
TomYam UBS makes contrarian call on ThaiBev

With growing regional consumer demand as the backdrop, Thai Beverage, the leading maker of drinks from white spirits to green tea, has been rated favourably by analysts for its strong base and growth potential. Last year, the company is estimated to have cornered more than three quarters of the spirit and one third of the beer sales respectively in its home market.

ThaiBev's successful bid for control of Singapore-based drinks and property company Fraser & Neave with the help of TCC Assets, the investment holding company owned by ThaiBev chairman Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi, also made the company a larger and stronger regional player in the F&B field.

This is the reason why, from the start of the year till July 17, all five recommendations of ThaiBev had either been "buy" or "overweight", with target prices ranging from 75 to 80 cents.

However, in a contrarian call made on July 18, UBS Investment Research analyst Chirag Saglani figured that ThaiBev, which closed 0.5 cents lower at 56 cents on July 19, is worth only 51 cents, because of a looming downturn in Thai consumer sentiment and possible risks in the restructuring process of F&N.

For one, spirits, which accounted for 58% of the company's revenue and a bigger proportion of its earnings in FY2012, could see weakening demand from the main customer segment of lower income workers. "Rising household debt and government tightening of populist subsidy schemes is likely to affect purchasing power," writes Saglani, referring to the government's decision to lower the minimum guaranteed price of rice from 15,000 baht per tonne to 13,000 baht per tonne from November.

Then there was also the excise duty hike last year that made alcohol more expensive. And prices of soft commodities like rubber and palm oil produced by Thai small holdings have also softened. With incomes affected, demand will shift from ThaiBev's relatively premium products to cheaper alternatives, says Saglani. As such, he predicts that ThaiBev's sale of spirits will drop 5% by volume this year and remain flat in 2014.

UBS estimates that ThaiBev, trading at 19 times 2013 P/E, is going to post an underlying earnings compounded annual growth of just 5.3% for FY2012 to FY2015 and believes "valuation is expensive" for the stock.

Then there is the looming restructuring of F&N's property, publishing and beverage businesses by the new owners. Saglani believes ThaiBev might have to cut its dividend payout ratio to 40%, from the current 50%, as it tries to pay down $3.3 billion in debt incurred from the acquisition.

The restructuring could involve some kind of swap between ThaiBev, which owns 28.6% of F&N, and TCC Assets, which owns 61.4%. Saglani believes ThaiBev would sell its share of the non-beverage business to TCC Assets, and TCC Assets, in turn, would sell its share in the beverage business to ThaiBev. The net effect would result in ThaiBev and TCC Assets owning both 90% each in the beverages, and non-beverages business, respectively. However, the key risk for ThaiBev shareholders is: At what value would the different businesses change hands?

Under the first of two scenarios floated by Saglani, both the property and publishing business would be transacted at book value. This would result in TCC Assets paying ThaiBev $475 million. The second scenario involves the possibility of the property business transacted at 0.7 times book and publishing at 0.8 times book. This would result in ThaiBev paying TCC Assets $839 million. The total of $1.3 billion from these two scenarios is worth 5 cents per share, or 10% of the price target, calculates Saglani. There is also a third scenario. "It is also possible that it completely divests the stake in the publishing business to a third party," writes Saglani.

In an announcement by F&N on July 18, the company states that TCC Assets, because of "unfavourable" market conditions, has not sold enough shares to increase the free float above the 10% level. On July 19, SGX agreed to give F&N an extension till end of the year for a more thorough review on what to do next.

Nevertheless, there are analysts who are more optimistic than Saglani. Nirgunan Tiruchelvam of Standard Chartered, in a July 5 note, believes that ThaiBev will unleash 8 billion baht ($326 million) worth of synergy when F&N's drinks business is consolidated within the company. In this scenario, ThaiBev would be trading at 16.1 times forward earnings post-restructuring, compared to 20.3 times in the "base scenario" and regional peer group's average of 23 times. That makes ThaiBev a much more attractive stock for Nirgunan who has a "buy" call and price target of 75 cents.
25/07/2013 10:13
Peter Chen Thai Beverage and F&N Myanmar exposure for Jim Roger
http://aseantradinglink.blogspot.com/2013/08/thai-beverage-and-f-myanmar-exposure.html
09/08/2013 13:21
barca Any TP recommendation?
10/08/2013 11:55
sgx_swinger Thai Bev might fall to 44-45 tomorrow for a good profitable bounce.

for more details ,see http://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/listMemberPosts.htm?username=hello123
26/08/2013 23:37
inphyy Thai Bev uses F&N proceeds of $1.35b to pay debts

Singapore Business Review ‎- 1 day ago

ThaiBev incurred more than $3b debt in 2012.

According to Moody's, Thai Beverage Public Company disclosed 14 August that it received SGD1.35 billion ($1.05 billion) from a capital reduction by Fraser & Neave Limited, in which ThaiBev owns a 28.61% stake.

ThaiBev used the full amount of proceeds to reduce SGD1 billion ($779 million) of long-term debt and SGD353 million ($275 million) of short-term debt, a credit positive.

Here's more from Moody's:

Pro forma for the debt reduction, ThaiBev’s adjusted debt to EBITDA declined to 2.8x from 4.2x as of 30 June. We expect ThaiBev will keep its leverage below 3.0x and that it won’t undertake any material additional debt-funded acquisitions over the next 12-18 months.

Throughout 2012, ThaiBev incurred more than SGD3.0 billion ($2.3 billion) in debt to assume its F&N stake, stretching its leverage, as measured by adjusted debt to EBITDA, to more than 4x from less than 1x historically.

ThaiBev disclosed the capital reduction, which had been expected, in a footnote in its interim financial statement. In May, the board of F&N, a pan-Asian consumer conglomerate, had proposed a capital reduction for a total aggregated amount of SGD4.73 billion ($3.73 billion), to be funded with internal existing cash and equivalents. The distribution accounts for around 85% of the SGD5.59 billion ($4.35 billion) gross sale proceeds of F&N’s interests in Asia Pacific Brewery (unrated). Based on ThaiBev’s 28.61% stake in F&N, this amount translates to SGD1.35 billion ($1.05 billion) of proceeds for ThaiBev.

ThaiBev’s deleveraging follows weak earnings in the first half of the year. Year-on-year sales decreased 7.3% owing to sales volume declines across almost all of the company’s product categories, including spirits, beer and soft drinks.

The sales volume decline in the alcohol segment largely reflects lower consumption following increased prices for spirits as a result of an increase in excise taxes in Thailand a year ago. The soft drink decline reflects the termination of Sermsuk PLC’s (unrated) bottling contract with PepsiCo, Inc(A1 stable) in Thailand, which ended in November 2012. This is the first year Sermsuk, in which ThaiBev owns a nearly 65% stake, is selling its own brands.

ThaiBev’s EBITDA for first half of 2013 also declined by 18% from the same period in 2012 to THB11.9 billion ($3.7 billion), reflecting lower sales, higher marketing expenses and increased wages. We expect marketing expenses will remain high given the competitive beverage market in Thailand as well as the launch of new products by both ThaiBev and competitors.

We expect overall sales volumes for ThaiBev, particularly for its beer and soft drinks revenues will likely remain tempered during the second half of the year. However, ThaiBev should still continue to generate stable operating cash flows over the next 12 months from its spirit segment, given its strong domestic market share in that segment.
27/08/2013 12:39
Alex Gray SINGAPORE share prices fell by noon on Tuesday with the Straits Times Index down 21.38 points to 3,063.03.
Volume was 1.9 billion shares worth S$489.1 million.
Losers outnumbered gainers 270 to 89.
stock recommendation for tomorrow at http://goo.gl/jOzjfo
27/08/2013 14:03
clarence_yeo2003 Thai Beverage may drop to 0.35
27/08/2013 20:18
Alex Gray we are giving intra-day and positional stock tips as well as forex and comex commodity tips. visit at http://goo.gl/GCG76y and take a 7 days free trial and watch the result of our recommendation. stock recommendation for tomorrow at http://goo.gl/jOzjfo
27/08/2013 20:20
sgx_swinger good call on thai Bev bounce .

see above or http://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/listMemberPosts.htm?username=hello123
29/08/2013 16:06
ticktock buy after pullback at 0.46-0.47?
30/08/2013 09:16
inphyy morning me gave support when price dip base on TA chart.

Oooh! T.G.I.F
30/08/2013 10:37
ticktock yeh tgif....need a rest after strong run-up.....
30/08/2013 13:26
ticktock good for a small run again?
03/09/2013 08:37
ticktock good small run......slow run up to 0.55?
05/09/2013 17:09
inphyy Closing bell 0.500 +0.035. hmmm no latest news on myanmar saga?
recently...me hop this ship. Don't think will consider this one soon.
05/09/2013 17:26
ticktock Thai finance ministry will increase excise tax ceiling rates on beer, wine, whiskey and other alcoholic beverages by an average of 7%-8%.......For example, the excise tax for beer is 48%, based on the value (ad-valorem) calculation, while the tax rate for white spirits is only 4%. Both of them are in similar tax brackets in terms of alcohol content per litre (155 and 145 baht per litre). Thai Beverage is the country's largest white spirit producer.
06/09/2013 09:25
barca Last min run up from 0.495 to 0.505....???
06/09/2013 22:37
barca 17:04:24 0.505 1,968,000 Bought from Seller
16:59:11 0.500 1,372,000 Bought from All Seller
Big buy up at closing....got news coming??
06/09/2013 22:39
ticktock creep.....creep.......0.55?
10/09/2013 15:38
ticktock still creeping......target 0.58 todays volume is good sign....
16/09/2013 11:18
ticktock that's it folks...................target hit....good luck to all who believed in the counter////
18/09/2013 10:41
ticktock hv to agree with Marubozu's chart point of 52.5.......put a buy there......good luck....
30/09/2013 10:56
nightshade marubozu?? i see no morubozu here
30/09/2013 16:09
ticktock go to market blogs thread sunday 29th sept....there u will see a technical chart posting....courtesy of marabou
30/09/2013 16:47
ticktock courtesy of marubozu.....
30/09/2013 16:49
nightshade thanks, saw that now
30/09/2013 17:30
inphyy THBEV - Response to Standard & Poors Report

http://infopub.sgx.com/Apps?A=COW_CorporateAnnouncement_Content&B=AnnouncementToday&F=1024532&fileId=Response_SP_Report.pdf
03/12/2013 23:37
soungsoung what is the support for this stock? 0.44?
11/12/2013 14:10
Frant Denner Post removed. Why?
04/04/2014 17:15
flex888 Target prices will stand on 0.90
30/09/2014 23:34


 

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